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#1
02-13-2007, 01:30 PM
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Actually I didn't think he would try the lead, but the rail was the place to be Saturday. Bias, yes for sure. I consider his best ability to stalk, then pounce down the lane. Has a nice strong late kick, and the Big A has the longest streach, so they do have a way to compliment each other.
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#2
02-13-2007, 01:36 PM
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Quote:
Rick Violette on ATRAB Monday (starts 30:00 into segment): http://www.attheracesandbeyond.com/stream/21207a.mp3
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
02-13-2007, 01:59 PM
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Quote:
Here's an interesting site giving some common derby angles: http://www.theyareatthepost.com/kent...cky-derby.html Horses ranked within 10 pounds of the male topweight or who are a champion in another country and have a Dosage Index of 4.0 or less and a Center of Distribution of 1.25 or less are considered the dual qualifiers. These horses have statistically shown that they have a better chance at winning the Derby. Here are this year's dual qualifiers (so far): Horse Trainer Dosage Jockey Any Given Saturday Todd Pletcher 2.67 * Rafael Bejarano Circular Quay Todd Pletcher 2.08 * Garrett Gomez Great Hunter Doug O'Neill 3.00 * Corey Nakatani King of the Roxy Todd Pletcher 3.00 * Edgar Prado Liquidity Doug O'Neill 1.86 * Corey Nakatani Nobiz Like Shobiz Barclay Tagg 1.44 * Cornelio Velasquez Scat Daddy Todd Pletcher 2.47 * John Velazquez Stormello Bill Currin 2.67 * Kent Desormeaux Street Sense Carl Nafzger 2.14 * Calvin Borel
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#5
02-13-2007, 02:26 PM
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Yeah, but a dual qualifier hasn't won in something like 10 years?
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#6
02-13-2007, 02:28 PM
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Quote:
__________________
http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26
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#7
02-13-2007, 04:17 PM
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Strike the Gold '91 Real Quiet '98 Charismatic '99 Giacomo '05 Because of a reclassification of Strike the Gold's sire Alydar, his dosage would now not fit this profile. I believe his dosage is now considered to be in the 2.5 to 2.6 area. As someone stated above dosage is obviously becoming less prevalent considering that the horses that have bucked the trend have all been recent.
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#8
02-13-2007, 04:21 PM
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I am trying to read as much and learn as much as I can but all these terms are a little confusign. Can any one please explain what they mean or do I have to read a book and which book is it.
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#9
02-13-2007, 04:27 PM
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Quote:
http://www.kentuckyderby.info/handic...tuckyderby.php
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#10
02-13-2007, 04:31 PM
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Quote:
for more reading... www.chef-de-race.com
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 Seek respect, not attention.
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#11
02-13-2007, 04:40 PM
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#12
02-13-2007, 04:43 PM
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#13
02-14-2007, 08:12 AM
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#14
02-14-2007, 08:24 AM
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I look more at the dosage points than I do at the dosage index. I wish I could remember the amount of points they look for in the classic category, but I think they look for (at the very least) 18 total points with the majority of those points being in the center and to the left of the center. For example, here is Barbaro's dosage profile: DP = 14-8-21-2-1 (46) DI = 2.41 CD = 0.70 His pedigree SCREAMED distance with having 21 points in the classic category. All of this is just another derby angle, but I've had some good luck by at least considering this and tossing the horses that I feel have no business trying to get a distance of ground. (Not always accurate, but a way of filtering contenders.)
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http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26 Last edited by Cajungator26 : 02-14-2007 at 08:59 AM.
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#16
02-13-2007, 01:45 PM
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I think the DRF still lists the Inner Track stretch as being longer than the Main Track stretch. Seems like a mathematical impossibility but that's what it says!
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#17
02-13-2007, 01:46 PM
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Nevermind, Giacomo had 16 total points. I think somer's angles say one must have 18.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
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#18
02-13-2007, 05:39 PM
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The longest NYRA stretch? The Aqueduct Inner. Look it up.
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