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Old 02-10-2007, 06:42 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
From what I saw as I only watched most of the race once on TVG CQ was off DEAD LAST and moved up along the inside . (TVG replayed the jockey falling about 10 times.) At the head of the lane JV had to pull him up to avoid the fallen rider. After that he had absolutely no shot. Just before the incident it looked like JV had plenty of horse, whether or not it was enough to get through the field in the stretch is another thing. The way Notional ran I doubt CQ would have gotten there in the end. CQ was in traffice on the rail and would have had to pass most of the field in the strecth.

In my opinion he would finished stroing but probably at best only gotten third or fourth at best.

Hope this helps.

Well, one place he wasn't finishing was third....being that a head seperated the second and third finishers.

I have no idea where he would have finished, save to say much closer than he did, and I will bet against him when he is ridiculously overbet again next time. He's a closing sprinter and not even necessarily a particularly good one at that. However, he was completely eliminated today, after getting a very sweet trip albeit he was a bit slow out of the gate and the horse outside of him came over. Since he was dropping out of it anyway it really didn't particularly affect his positioning.
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  #2  
Old 02-10-2007, 06:48 PM
Travis Stone's Avatar
Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Louisiana
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I have no idea where he would have finished, save to say much closer than he did, and I will bet against him when he is ridiculously overbet again next time.
I loved 'crazy today and his second was a bit of a letdown. But, CQ was moving with him around the turn. I'm going to go out on a limb and say that CQ would have finished near or better than 'crazy, just based upon how he was going on the turn. Of course anything could have happened in the stretch, but CQ was completely eliminated and finished very well none-the-less.

And yes, he'll be stupidly overbet next time.... much like he was today.
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