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Old 02-03-2007, 12:16 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
That is a tricky race as there is a chance Naissance Royale doesn't have that winner's determination but she is most likely the best horse, with a good post, coming off an impossible trip. I don't think it's even close who the second best horse in the race is, in fact it's more likely she's the best horse than the third best horse, and that's Nottawasaga. Her last was super impressive and I expect her to be a force in this division in 2007. I am a little concerned she won't run her best race second off a layoff but I believe she is clearly no worse than the second likeliest winner.

To me most of the others are similar, and too slow, and if I was going to toss in one outlyer it would be La Dolce Vita. You can have the rest ( though I was impressed with J'Ray rallying inside on the Calder turf last out, which is not easy, but she's just too slow ).
Naissance Royal and Nottawasaga are the two that i have marked as standouts from the rest of the field. After them I have about 4-5 in the same ballpark. I had planned to spread a lot in this raise but weighted fairly heavy to the two standouts.
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