Winner in the Strub Stakes Sat.

[2Hot4TV]

Originally Posted by pick4

If you have access to replays watch Santa Anita's 1/13/07 8th race. Midnight Lute was 4 wide around both turns and made up ground on the second turn to gain the lead. He was leg weary in the stretch and caught by Awesome Gem.

I think the inside post plays to Midnight Lute's advantage here. If he does not regress off his last race he should win the Strub.

At what point do you think that a "Bounce" would be for a horse that went two turns for the first time and is lightly raced.

BD is not the play and Midnight Lute could Bounce.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

At what point do you think that a "Bounce" would be for a horse that went two turns for the first time and is lightly raced.

BD is not the play and Midnight Lute could Bounce.

Predicting an athletes recovery rate is very difficult. There's a good possibility that three weeks between races might not be enough time to recover from such a strong effort.

How he bounces back remains to be seen. His trainer is pretty sharp and usually spots his horse well.

Midnight Lute appears to be the most talented horse in the race and with a beter trip he should win.

[DerbyCat]

I may be totally crazy here but Fairbanks may have a shot - he's the only one who hasn't run within the past three weeks (he's a month out from his last race), he's 2nd off the layoff and he's with a 29% shipper... does anyone think he's got a chance besides me?

[pick4]

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

I may be totally crazy here but Fairbanks may have a shot - he's the only one who hasn't run within the past three weeks (he's a month out from his last race), he's 2nd off the layoff and he's with a 29% shipper... does anyone think he's got a chance besides me?

Fairbanks win at Saratoga was a slow paced speed biased aided romp.There's a chance that he improved since then but in his last he beat Champ Safi. That's not much.

Good luck with him but I don't think he has enough to beat these horses.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

I think Fairbanks will run in the San Antonio(Sunday) instead.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

I think Fairbanks will run in the San Antonio(Sunday) instead.

The San Antonio is a much more logical race for Fairbanks. MOTO

[SCUDSBROTHER]

Well,let me start by saying that I totally disagree that Awesome Gem should have won the Sir Beaufort Stakes.Kip was simply best in there,and he is gunna always be very tough in mile turf races that he can rate 2nd or 3rd in.If this race tomorrow was at a mile,I would give the nod to Midnight Lute.Fact is,it is a 9f race.You are giving Awesome Gem even more ground to grind away at these 3 horses(none of which are favored by going further than a mile.)I have to give him the nod here.He is no star,but he is improving.There is no doubt that M LUTE has the best turn of foot in the race,and Awesome Gem gives himself a hell of a lot to do.I feel like M LUTE is simply better at 7f-1 mile.Does he win last time if he gets a less wide trip?Yes,but not by much,and I think he would have been getting caught late(but hold on.)At 9f,I like Awesome Gem to win it.Sure,he could come a fast-closing 2nd.I will be very surprised if this guy doesn't come top 2...Very surprised.

[TitanSooner]

Midnight Lute for fun..

Originally Posted by merasmag

arson squad sucks-so grl