Winner in the Strub Stakes Sat.

Probably dreaming, but it wouldn't be the first time I got it wrong...I'd go with Bro. Derek or Midnight Lute over Arson. Who knows what you're getting with that thing.

[pick4]

If you have access to replays watch Santa Anita's 1/13/07 8th race. Midnight Lute was 4 wide around both turns and made up ground on the second turn to gain the lead. He was leg weary in the stretch and caught by Awesome Gem.

I think the inside post plays to Midnight Lute's advantage here. If he does not regress off his last race he should win the Strub.

[2Hot4TV]

Originally Posted by pick4

If you have access to replays watch Santa Anita's 1/13/07 8th race. Midnight Lute was 4 wide around both turns and made up ground on the second turn to gain the lead. He was leg weary in the stretch and caught by Awesome Gem.

I think the inside post plays to Midnight Lute's advantage here. If he does not regress off his last race he should win the Strub.

At what point do you think that a "Bounce" would be for a horse that went two turns for the first time and is lightly raced.

BD is not the play and Midnight Lute could Bounce.

[pick4]

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV

At what point do you think that a "Bounce" would be for a horse that went two turns for the first time and is lightly raced.

BD is not the play and Midnight Lute could Bounce.

Predicting an athletes recovery rate is very difficult. There's a good possibility that three weeks between races might not be enough time to recover from such a strong effort.

How he bounces back remains to be seen. His trainer is pretty sharp and usually spots his horse well.

Midnight Lute appears to be the most talented horse in the race and with a beter trip he should win.

[DerbyCat]

I may be totally crazy here but Fairbanks may have a shot - he's the only one who hasn't run within the past three weeks (he's a month out from his last race), he's 2nd off the layoff and he's with a 29% shipper... does anyone think he's got a chance besides me?

[pick4]

Originally Posted by DerbyCat

I may be totally crazy here but Fairbanks may have a shot - he's the only one who hasn't run within the past three weeks (he's a month out from his last race), he's 2nd off the layoff and he's with a 29% shipper... does anyone think he's got a chance besides me?

Fairbanks win at Saratoga was a slow paced speed biased aided romp.There's a chance that he improved since then but in his last he beat Champ Safi. That's not much.

Good luck with him but I don't think he has enough to beat these horses.

[SCUDSBROTHER]

I think Fairbanks will run in the San Antonio(Sunday) instead.

[SniperSB23]

For some reason I think Objective could lull these horses to sleep and hit at monster odds. I tossed him in both the last two, he did nothing but run up the track and yet I find myself drawn to him here. I'd love to see Fairbanks scratch.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

For some reason I think Objective could lull these horses to sleep and hit at monster odds. I tossed him in both the last two, he did nothing but run up the track and yet I find myself drawn to him here. I'd love to see Fairbanks scratch.

1:10 was certainly not what I was looking for.

[Gander]

It was his turn like I said. Also didnt hurt that the best jockey in the business was on his back. One of the better rides I have seen in a big race in a long time. Brilliant. I wanted more than 3/1 but I'll take it