The Donn This Saturday

[tycharles01]

Its not betting against Invasor it finding out the 2,3,4th place horses

No one who has any knowledge is gonna put WIN bets on him at 3/5 however a ton of people will have him as top or 2nd in tris and supers

So remember

#1, key with???

[Buffymommy]

Originally Posted by avance2000

so let's say invasor is 2/5 or even 1/5 and some horse like AP Arrow is 15/1. ap arrow is still not a good bet. this horse has never won a graded stakes race. are the odds really only 15/1 that he will win the race. NO!!!!! it would take an act of god for him to win.
i'm all for finding a good horse at a price....but there are times (like this) when the entire field is so overmatched that it doesn't even make sense to look for value. there isn't any.

oh come on he will be like 1/9 or worse. We are talking about the HOY last year who is only four techically.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by avance2000

i completely disagree. one of these bums is going to pick up a nice paycheck for second place.

This is what you said:

"why in hell would anyone in their right mind bet a dime on any horse in this race not named invasor"

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by tycharles01

Its not betting against Invasor it finding out the 2,3,4th place horses

No one who has any knowledge is gonna put WIN bets on him at 3/5 however a ton of people will have him as top or 2nd in tris and supers

So remember

#1, key with???

yeah, the trick is hitting the ex and tri--but if invasor wins, they won't pay much either.

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by Buffymommy

We are talking about the HOY last year who is only four techically.

exactly! so why do you like hesanoldsalt in this spot?

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

This is what you said:

"why in hell would anyone in their right mind bet a dime on any horse in this race not named invasor"

right. what is your point exactly?

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Danzig188

yeah, the trick is hitting the ex and tri--but if invasor wins, they won't pay much either.

Obviously I think that Invasor is the clear winner here, but there's a chance he may not like the track, etc and if that is the case, there could be some money to be made.

[Buffymommy]

Originally Posted by avance2000

exactly! so why do you like hesanoldsalt in this spot?

He's a Broad Brush baby who getting better at four. Hee hee. Just going for the money.

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Obviously I think that Invasor is the clear winner here, but there's a chance he may not like the track, etc and if that is the case, there could be some money to be made.

i guess this is where we differ. i would never bet one horse to win, if i thought a different horse in that race was "obviously the clear winner."

[tycharles01]

Wont Pay much??? It wont pay 100 or more per buck but you should make a nice profit


Strong Contender will be 2nd choice and no way he even hits the board. Most likely will be looking at 2 15-1 or higher and a 5-1 in Magna Graduate to round out the super

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by avance2000

i guess this is where we differ. i would never bet one horse to win, if i thought a different horse in that race was "obviously the clear winner."

Would you bet a higher priced horse WP? That's what I plan on doing.

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Would you bet a higher priced horse WP? That's what I plan on doing.

if you want to go that way with the race....i would load up on the place part of the bet and keep the win part in the $2 range.

[Antitrust32]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

LMAO

I'll take my chances.

Lori,

I can't make it down, unfortunately... I have my son this weekend. Last weekend was his Dad's weekend to have him, so it worked out.

I am sure your son would enjoy the races! He has to learn how to read the racing form someday

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by Antitrust32

I am sure your son would enjoy the races! He has to learn how to read the racing form someday

Very true... but the idea of almost 4 hours in the car with a 3 year old doesn't appeal to me.

Maybe I'll get lucky and you guys will call me to let me know how the horses look?

[dr. fager]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Maybe I'll get lucky and you guys will call me to let me know how the horses look?

that'd be really nice of them....wish someone would've come through for me.

[lemoncrush]

I'm fully aware of the Invasor prep for Dubai angle, but we're talking about a horse who is 9/10 lifetime, and should be able to jog home beating this weak field.
Chatain looks nice, but with 4 lifetime starts, I really doubt he'll be able to shake free of Invasor.
And it is a terrible betting race, but who is going to complain about a single in the pick 4, or the Magna 5?

Not me.

[Danzig]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

Obviously I think that Invasor is the clear winner here, but there's a chance he may not like the track, etc and if that is the case, there could be some money to be made.

very true. no mortal locks here. he should canter home. but ya neva know.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by dr. fager

that'd be really nice of them....wish someone would've come through for me.

Oops. We MIGHT have had a few too many on Saturday. LOL I'm sorry.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by avance2000

perhaps i am missing something, but why in hell would anyone in their right mind bet a dime on any horse in this race not named invasor?
these other horses don't stand much of a chance in my opinion.

I have to agree with you about this. In his last three races his WORST Beyer# is a 111. No other horse in the race has ever run a figure that high. He is as solid a single here as you will find.

[tycharles01]

Invasor opens at 6/5

Magna Graduate 4/1

Chatain Strong Contender 6/1