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  #1  
Old 02-01-2007, 02:47 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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so let's say invasor is 2/5 or even 1/5 and some horse like AP Arrow is 15/1. ap arrow is still not a good bet. this horse has never won a graded stakes race. are the odds really only 15/1 that he will win the race. NO!!!!! it would take an act of god for him to win.
i'm all for finding a good horse at a price....but there are times (like this) when the entire field is so overmatched by one horse that it doesn't even make sense to look for value. there isn't any.
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Old 02-01-2007, 02:49 PM
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Buffymommy Buffymommy is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by avance2000
so let's say invasor is 2/5 or even 1/5 and some horse like AP Arrow is 15/1. ap arrow is still not a good bet. this horse has never won a graded stakes race. are the odds really only 15/1 that he will win the race. NO!!!!! it would take an act of god for him to win.
i'm all for finding a good horse at a price....but there are times (like this) when the entire field is so overmatched that it doesn't even make sense to look for value. there isn't any.

oh come on he will be like 1/9 or worse. We are talking about the HOY last year who is only four techically.
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Old 02-01-2007, 02:53 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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Originally Posted by Buffymommy
We are talking about the HOY last year who is only four techically.
exactly! so why do you like hesanoldsalt in this spot?
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Old 02-01-2007, 02:56 PM
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exactly! so why do you like hesanoldsalt in this spot?

He's a Broad Brush baby who getting better at four. Hee hee. Just going for the money.
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Old 02-01-2007, 02:59 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
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Wont Pay much??? It wont pay 100 or more per buck but you should make a nice profit


Strong Contender will be 2nd choice and no way he even hits the board. Most likely will be looking at 2 15-1 or higher and a 5-1 in Magna Graduate to round out the super
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  #6  
Old 02-01-2007, 03:21 PM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
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I'm fully aware of the Invasor prep for Dubai angle, but we're talking about a horse who is 9/10 lifetime, and should be able to jog home beating this weak field.
Chatain looks nice, but with 4 lifetime starts, I really doubt he'll be able to shake free of Invasor.
And it is a terrible betting race, but who is going to complain about a single in the pick 4, or the Magna 5?

Not me.
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