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  #1  
Old 01-30-2007, 02:30 PM
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Cajungator26 Cajungator26 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Carson City is actually one of the last names you'd want to see in the up-close pedigree of a Derby Prospect....in my opinion.

Barbaro was by Dynaformer (Stamina) and from a female family laced with stamina.

IMO, Stormello is not as talented as Brother Derek was at this point last year, and much like BD, he looks like an early developing type, who's already polished, and doesn't have much room for future improvement.

I believe he's rated that high because he won the Norfolk and Hollywood Futurity--the top two West Coast races for 2yo's around two turns. The same two races Brother Derek won last year.
Thanks for your thoughts. Precisely why I asked.
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  #2  
Old 01-30-2007, 02:44 PM
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Travis Stone Travis Stone is offline
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What's going to be exciting about this is seeing how these horses move down and up the list. Stormello will probably drop down given these thoughts...

As for a t-shirt, when they win a $2 million horse race, the last they want from us is a t-shirt!

But we'll send one anyway.
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  #3  
Old 01-30-2007, 02:57 PM
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I still love Hard Spun.
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  #4  
Old 01-30-2007, 04:38 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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On record from the week after the BC that Street Sense won't be in the gate on Derby Day and will never run a negative thoro again, definitely not within his 3 yr old season. Too much, too soon. We'll see what happens.
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  #5  
Old 01-30-2007, 04:52 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Well, I don't know enough about the Thorograph numbers to comment on his future numbers, but I prefer good horses, like Street Sense, than slow ones and think all this " he ran too fast too soon " stuff makes absolutely no sense. Surely it's easier to pick one horse, even like Street Sense, and be right when he doesn't live up to expectations, and certainly his BC performance was enhanced by a perfect trip, but he still seems like a good horse. Just not as good, perhaps, as Nobizlikeshowbiz.

I think the problem is we haven't seen enough genuinely good horses in the past decade and too many doped up flashes in the pan. Ya know, Easy Goer ran a 116 Beyer fig in the Champagne and he turned out OK. Point Given ran some pretty good races as a 2YO and he turned out OK as well. While I'm sure they're the only ones at least they prove anything's possible.
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  #6  
Old 01-30-2007, 04:58 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Well, I don't know enough about the Thorograph numbers to comment on his future numbers, but I prefer good horses, like Street Sense, than slow ones and think all this " he ran too fast too soon " stuff makes absolutely no sense. Surely it's easier to pick one horse, even like Street Sense, and be right when he doesn't live up to expectations, and certainly his BC performance was enhanced by a perfect trip, but he still seems like a good horse. Just not as good, perhaps, as Nobizlikeshowbiz.

I think the problem is we haven't seen enough genuinely good horses in the past decade and too many doped up flashes in the pan. Ya know, Easy Goer ran a 116 Beyer fig in the Champagne and he turned out OK. Point Given ran some pretty good races as a 2YO and he turned out OK as well. While I'm sure they're the only ones at least they prove anything's possible.
I agree but the call is for the rest of his career, as well as his entire 3 yr old season. If his thoro number is to be believed, it is the fastest 2 yr old number in the BC ever. That puts him in better than "good" category so if he's that good he'll show it....The early 3yr old number of Keyed Entry vs. FuSam last year ruined both....And Beyers are nice, but they aren't thoros, and a study done looking at negative numbers early in the 3yr old season last year on the thoro board was simply stunning when it looked at the what happens, not only up to the Derby, but the rest of the 3yr old season....The history of a number like Street Sense got is not very long so we'll have to see. Maybe he is the next Easy Goer. I hope so.
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  #7  
Old 01-30-2007, 05:04 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
I agree but the call is for the rest of his career, as well as his entire 3 yr old season. If his thoro number is to be believed, it is the fastest 2 yr old number in the BC ever. That puts him in better than "good" category so if he's that good he'll show it....The early 3yr old number of Keyed Entry vs. FuSam last year ruined both....And Beyers are nice, but they aren't thoros, and a study done looking at negative numbers early in the 3yr old season last year on the thoro board was simply stunning when it looked at the what happens, not only up to the Derby, but the rest of the 3yr old season....The history of a number like Street Sense got is not very long so we'll have to see. Maybe he is the next Easy Goer. I hope so.
Keyed Entry follows a LONG list of horses from that barn that sizzled early and fizzled just as fast and FuSam appears to be a horse who didn't want any part of a distance past a mile. His BC Juvenile strongly demonstrated that to me when he sat a perfect trip, loomed up like he was gin at the top of the stretch, and had no finish whatsoever.

For every " reaction " I will give a logical explanation.
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  #8  
Old 01-30-2007, 05:06 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
I agree but the call is for the rest of his career, as well as his entire 3 yr old season. If his thoro number is to be believed, it is the fastest 2 yr old number in the BC ever. That puts him in better than "good" category so if he's that good he'll show it....The early 3yr old number of Keyed Entry vs. FuSam last year ruined both....And Beyers are nice, but they aren't thoros, and a study done looking at negative numbers early in the 3yr old season last year on the thoro board was simply stunning when it looked at the what happens, not only up to the Derby, but the rest of the 3yr old season....The history of a number like Street Sense got is not very long so we'll have to see. Maybe he is the next Easy Goer. I hope so.
He's definitely in the right barn if he's going to be a great one. My main concern is two preps for the derby.
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  #9  
Old 01-31-2007, 01:06 AM
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cmorioles cmorioles is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by randallscott35
...The early 3yr old number of Keyed Entry vs. FuSam last year ruined both....
TG had those horses running fast? I would think those numbers are questionable more than thinking they ruined the horses.
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