Sunshine Millions Value

[gales0678]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

A randall sighting in the selection thread? Unheard of.

Anyway, this day has quite a bit of value to it so lets take a look at some races where you will find the most. I'll just stick to the stakes races.

At SA first
Race 2- I don't like this race and I have no feel for it so I am passing.
Race 3- This race has bomb written all over it. Huge top for Take D Tour, Friel's is fast and 10-1 but will go off nowhere close to that. I think the horse with the most upside is Pufffectly Fitting. I would say 40-1 or higher is likely on this horse especially with no scratches. I expect her to hit the board.
Race 4-No thanks, the ones in here make sense, I would lean towards Areyoutalkingtome but not by much.
Race 5-I'll try and beat Lava Man with El Don in here. Jones is underrated and the I think he can work out the trip in here. On the numbers Lava should cruise.

At GP
Race 7-Felonious Monk makes sense here and at anything over 15-1 is a must play in every exotic and some on top. Stewart is good in these spots and I like the horses style for the pace scenario. Based on previous Millions days, it seems the track doesn't play as front running as normal. Hope so.
Race 8-You have to play Grecian Lover in here. Why is this one 10-1 and the other Jerkens 7-2? I'd take Grecian in this spot every time. Good value.
Race 9-I've got a softspot for Memorette even though she's a bit slow on thoros. Maybe Miss Shop to spice it up a bit. Rich in Spirit is consistent and deserves to be the favorite. Small play on the formers.
Race 10-I'm throwing out Sweetnorthernsaint. I expect an X in here and I realize I'm in the minority which is fine. The 2 keys are Silver Wagon and Texcess. I'd love to get crazier but I don't see it. If Silver stretches well, he should win this, but I think Texcess is more likely. I'll play both and a decent exacta box and a both in the top 2 with a wheel in 3rd and maybe even fourth leaving out SNS from all tickets.

Good Luck All.

Yup Randall - watch Felonious Monk - he s/b VERY live here