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  #1  
Old 01-25-2007, 07:47 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
I think its a great idea to have contests like this. A suggestion I might make is to scale down the bankroll to where its a tad more realistic and within the average person's budget, give or take a couple of hundred dollars.

I like the $600 ticket myself, I think that forces people to do more handicapping and avoids just tossing horses you know you would never really use. Catch my drift?
I disagree completely with reducing the bankroll. $600 is not a realistic ticket for six races of big fields. You have very little chance of getting these right with 300 combinations. if i did my math right, if you assume 11 horse fields throwing 300 combinations at a pick six is like having a pick four contest and asking people to limit the wagers to $2, only two combinations. I don't care how good of a handicapper you are, you are not going to hit them.
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  #2  
Old 01-25-2007, 07:59 PM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
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I'm just trying to keep it real. Not many people have close to 2K to throw away on a lottery ticket. Some get into syndicates but there are usually more than 1 person making the decisions. You may as well make the bankroll
5K if its going to be a number that you'll never come close to playing.

$600 is a more realistic amount. Thats what Oracle usually throws in and hes hit like 7 of them.
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  #3  
Old 01-25-2007, 08:25 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
I'm just trying to keep it real. Not many people have close to 2K to throw away on a lottery ticket. Some get into syndicates but there are usually more than 1 person making the decisions. You may as well make the bankroll
5K if its going to be a number that you'll never come close to playing.

$600 is a more realistic amount. Thats what Oracle usually throws in and hes hit like 7 of them.
Like I said it all depends on how deep the water is that you are wading into. If the races are compromised of 7-8 horse fields and there are a couple of real obvious singles, it is certainly much much easier to hit them with 300 combinations because the number of permutations are very very significantly reduced.

in my opinion, betting a pick six like the one in the contest with $600 is not realistic. It's stupid. That's why the syndicates are necessary because it gives people with only $600 a chance to have a reasonable shot.
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  #4  
Old 01-25-2007, 08:27 PM
Gander Gander is offline
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I think a guy like me putting any more than $8 into a pick 6 is kind of silly. I'm not the brightest bulb that they ever put in a lamp!

But they sure as heck are fun to handicap.
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  #5  
Old 01-25-2007, 08:30 PM
2MinsToPost's Avatar
2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Gander
I think a guy like me putting any more than $8 into a pick 6 is kind of silly. I'm not the brightest bulb that they ever put in a lamp!

But they sure as heck are fun to handicap.
I love to play the Pick 6 for $2 for shiats and giggles

single/single/single/single/single/single

when I hit I will photocopy my ticket and post it, and then change my name to Nostradamus
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