10/31-11/1: Del Mar ~ Breeders' Cup

[Kasept]

DEL MAR TURF CLUB ~ BREEDERS' CUP SATURDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Suchet 7-2 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #6 Kansas Cat 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 We Can 20-1 11th
Exotics Use: #2 Time Song 10-1 9th


2nd: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Wayne the Brain 10-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Modus Bestia 3-1 WON ($6.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Ghost of Midnight 5-1 5th
Super Add: #9 Miracle Mark 12-1 9th
Hi-5 Play: #12 Red Flag 6-1 4th


3rd: Goldikova (G3), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Deep Satin 7-2 5th
Best Value: #13 Temptable 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Special Wan 2-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #5 Medoro 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #9 Breath Away 8-1 2nd


4th: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint (G1), F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

SCR Sweet Azteca & Tamara now..

Best Value: #2 Splendora 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Next Best: #8 Hope Road 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Richi 5-1 5th
Super Add: #10 Praying 20-1 7th


All Dirt P4 Grid:

4: 2-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-2-5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x2x3x5 = $60 ($30 for .50)

$0.50 Pick 4 (2/10,15/4/5) Paid $841.20 ($420.60 for .50)


5th: Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint (G1), 3+, 5f-T (P5, Turf P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Bring Theband Home 12-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Reef Runner 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #8 Ag Bullet 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Motorious 7-2 5th
Hi-5 Play: #13 Puro Magic 20-1 10th


$0.50 Turf P4 Grid:

5: 2-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7-10 (A), - (B), 5-8 (C)
12: 4-6-9-13-14 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x3x3x5 = 90 x .50 = $45
Backup (AACA): 2x3x2x5 = 60 x .50 = $30


6th: Breeders' Cup Sprint (G1), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Kopion 7-2 5th
Next Best: #10 Bentornato 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #5 Big City Lights 15-1 8th
Exotics Use: #12 Straight No Chaser 8-1 7th
Super Add: #3 Lovesick Blues 10-1 6th


7th: Breeders' Cup Distaff (G1), F&M-3+, 9f (P6, P3, DIS/CLS DBL, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Scylla 15-1 WON ($17.20)
Next Best: #1 Nitrogen 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Seismic Beauty 9-5 11th
Super Add: #12 Dorth Vader 5-1 5th
Hi-5 Play: #13 Regaled 30-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

4: 2-8 (A), 1-10 (B), 4-6-9 (C)
5: 1-2-3-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 2x5x2x3 = 60 x .50 = $30
Backup (AAAC): 3x5x2x3 = 90 x .50 = $45 (4-6-9 in 4th)


$100 Distaff/Classic DBL:

7: 1-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 1-5-7-10 (C)

All A's: 3x1 = 3 x $20 = $60
Backup: 3x4 = 12 x $3 = $36 (1-4-8 w/ 1-5-7-10)

$1 DBL (4/5) Paid $44.30 x 3 = $132.90


2-day Juvy Fillies/Distaff DBL:

FRI 7: 1-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 6: 1-4-8-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x5 = 15 x $5 = $75

$1 DBL (8-4) Paid $55.30 x 5 = $276.50


8th: Breeders' Cup Turf (G1), 3+, 12f-T (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #3 Amiloc 10-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Minnie Hauk 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Rebel's Romance 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #4 Redistricting 15-1 7th
Hi-5 Play: #2 Goliath 8-1 11th


2-day Juvy Turf/Turf DBL:

FRI 10: 2-14 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 8: 1-2-3-4-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x5 = 10 x $8 = $80


9th: Breeders' Cup Classic (G1), 3+, 10f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 BAEZA 10-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Fierceness 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Sierra Leone 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Forever Young 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Hi-5 Play: #10 Antiquarian 10-1 8th


2-day Juvy/Classic DBL:

FRI 9: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 9: 1-2-5-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x5 = 10 x $10 = $100

$1 DBL (8/5) Paid $8.30 x 10 = $83.00


10th: Breeders' Cup Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Johannes 8-1 8th
Next Best: #2 Notable Speech 5-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Jonquil 10-1 9th
Super Add: #5 Program Trading 10-1 10th
Hi-5 Play: #8 Formidable Man 10-1 2nd


11th: Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile (G1), 3+, 1m (DD, Hi-5)

The craziest ongoing stat in the Breeders' Cup remains Bob Baffert's 12/0-1-0-2 record in this race, but Goal Oriented, Nysos (and even Citizen Bull who's 4/3-0-1 at DMR) seem to offer him his best chance to break through..

Best Value: #2 Goal Oriented 6-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Full Serrano 7-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Nysos 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #10 White Abarrio Gate SCR


12th: Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf (G1), F&M-3+, 11f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Village Voice 15-1 12th
Next Best: #14 See The Fire 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #13 She Feels Pretty 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Cinderella's Dream 9-2 8th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Diamond Rain 6-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 3-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-4 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
11: 2-6 (A), 3-10 (B), - (C)
12: 4-6-9-13-14 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x4x6 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 2x1x2x2x5 = 40 x .50 = $20
Backup (CAAAA): 3x1x2x2x5 = 60 x .50 = $30 (1-2-4)


P4 Grid:

9: 1-2-7 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
10: 2-7 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
11: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-10 (C)
12: 4-13-14 (A), - (B), 5-6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-6-9 in 12th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve