8/31: Saratoga (Day 39; JC Gold Cup); Kentucky Downs (Day 3)

[Kasept]

KENTUCKY DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Aspenite 6-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Quatrocento 5-2 WON ($3.34)
Exotics Use: #5 Accredit 12-1 8th
Super Add: #13 Alder 12-1 5th


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 7f (P5,P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Caprichosinfront 6-1: 2nd time starter and Tiz the Law's popping on lawn.. 8th
Next Best: #1 One Front War 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Risky Wave 9-2 9th
Super Add: #12 Auntie 10-1 2nd


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10.5f (P3, DD)

A race teed up for the 'Chase set with Jack Fisher & Keri Brion invading the Dueling Grounds..

Most Likely: #9 Smart Uncle 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Write Off Jerry 3-1 10th
Best Value: #12 Vintage Year 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Salted Caramel 4-1 6th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #11 Very Connected 15-1: A McPeek Special if you ever saw one with turf meant colt in 2nd start.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Irish Law 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Risk 7-2 10th
Super Add: #5 Eva Ready 8-1 8th


7th: OC-$100k/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Banjo Chris 20-1: WON ($23.10) Wismer colt a better horse at 4; Lures Dettori for turf return..
Next Best: #1 Mo Stash 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #11 Let My People Go 9-2 5th
Super Add: #13 Double Clutch 12-1 6th


8th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Love a Little Mo 9-2 8th
Best Value: #7 Turner's Charm 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Beach Ballad 8-5 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Maiora 6-1 6th


P5 Grid:

4: 1-7-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 9-11 (A), 1-12 (B), - (C)
6: 11 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
7: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-9 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAAAC): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-10 in 8th)


9th: Juvenile Sprint, 2yo, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Johnny's Red Storm 3-1: Weaver SCR'd for this.. WON ($5.48)
Best Value: #1 Zeus's Echo 8-1: Quick developing type for Davis.. 9th
Next Best: #8 Obliteration 7-2: Sanford win'r in slightly surprising move to lawn.. 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Twilight Delight 8-1: Leitch debut win'r may forget to stop.. 4th


10th: HCP, 3+, 1m (DD)

Best Value: #3 Astronomer 15-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Chasing the Crown 5-2 WON ($8.28)
Exotics Use: #8 Genius Jimmy 15-1 11th
Super Add: #1 Gaslight Dancer 15-1 12th


11th: Juvy Fillies Sprint, 2yo-F, 1m (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 TO A FLAME 6-1: Won debut despite all turf pedigree; In Rusty We Trusty.. 3rd
Next Best: #7 Soloist 5-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Oscar's Encore 4-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Meringue 3-1 WON ($13.20)


P5 Grid:

7: 1-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 7-9 (A), - (B), 2-10 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), 7 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2-10 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

8: 7-9 (A), 2-10 (B), - (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 5-8 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-7 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x3x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-9 in 11th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve