Two at Toga (2025)

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

I’ve looked at the Wednesday card and don’t really love it. I don’t want to spend much time on it.

Wednesday.

Race 1. #2 Castle Island, 4/1. Decent chance he wires, though wish Jose Ortiz was still aboard.

Race 8. #8 Notable Exchange, 12/1. This one has been looking for a pace to run into and should get it here.

Thursday.

Race 7. #2 Regalton, 8/1. It seems like George Weaver has been dominating the turf sprints at Saratoga. That’s probably because he has been, winning at a 40% clip in turf sprints this meet. The numbers are even better when you consider that 2 of his 9 starting non-winners ran 2nd and 4th to Governor Sam in the Quick Call. Similarly, he also has Silsbee and Laurice listed here. I think ML favorite Love Cervere is a very nice horse but question if she wants 5.5 furlongs as opposed to a little longer.

Race 9. #4 Maui Strong, 7/2. I’ve really liked this horse for a long time and now Irad hops aboard, making me question if there is any way we actually get 7/2 on him. I think he should be the heavy favorite so I’d love got get him at 7/2. Doesn’t look like a ton of pace signed on and he’s got a major class edge over these horses.

Looking at today’s races again and Jose Ortiz was never aboard Castle Island. I’m not sure what I was talking about. I guess I meant Castellano? But if so, he’s been ice cold. Maybe Elliott will be an upgrade at the moment. Good luck today everyone.

[theguarantee]

Best bet Race 8 #2 Duboff 6/1
Best value Race 6 #7 Imminent Risk 6/1

[moses]

Castle Island was terrible.

Notable Exchange was the first of the closers to make a move and looked like mayyybe a winner but got run down by Chad/Prat and held on for second. Paid $8.10 to place.


$184.00 wagered
$278.50 returned