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  #1  
Old 02-14-2025, 06:21 AM
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Arrow TRIPLE CROWN: Probables, Possibles..

May 3 ~ KENTUCKY DERBY ~ Churchill Downs

Kentucky Derby 151 | Churchill Downs | Race 12 | 6:57 pm ET

1-Citizen Bull (Bob Baffert / Martin Garcia) 20-1
2-Neoequous (Saffie Joseph Jr. / Flavien Prat) 30-1
3-Final Gambit (Brad Cox / Luan Machado) 30-1
5-American Promise (D. Wayne Lukas / Nik Juarez) 30-1
6-Admire Daytona (Yukihiro Kato / Christophe Lemaire) 30-1
7-Luxor Cafe (Noriyuki Hori / Joao Moreira) 15-1
8-Journalism (Michael McCarthy / Umberto Rispoli) 3-1
9-Burnham Square (Ian Wilkes / Brian Hernandez Jr.) 12-1
11-Flying Mohawk (Whit Beckman / Joe Ramos) 30-1
12-East Avenue (Brendan Walsh / Manny Franco) 20-1
13-Publisher (Steve Asmussen / Irad Ortiz Jr.) 20-1
14-Tiztastic (Steve Asmussen / Joel Rosario) 20-1
15-Render Judgment (Kenny McPeek / Julien Leparoux) 30-1
16-Coal Battle (Lonnie Briley / Juan Vargas) 30-1
17-Sandman (Mark Casse / Jose Ortiz) 6-1
18-Sovereignty (Bill Mott / Junior Alvarado) 5-1
19-Chunk of Gold (Ethan West / Jareth Loveberry) 30-1
20-Owen Almighty (Brian Lynch / Javier Castellano) 30-1
21-Baeza (John Shirreffs / Flavien Prat) AE


May 17 ~ PREAKNESS STAKES ~ Pimlico

Journalism (McCarthy/Rispoli)
American Promise (Lukas/Juarez)
Sandman (Casse/Velazquez)
Goal Oriented (Baffert/Prat)
Clever Again (Asmussen/J. Ortiz)
River Thames (Pletcher/I. Ortiz)
Heart of Honor (Osbourne/Osbourne)
Gosger (Walsh/Saez)
Pay Billy (Gorham/R. Mena)


June 7 ~ BELMONT STAKES ~ Saratoga

Heart of Honor (Osbourne)
Baeza (Shirreffs)
Journalism (McCarthy)
Sovereignty (Mott)
Hill Road (Brown)
Rodriguez (Baffert)
Crudo (Pletcher)
Uncaged (Pletcher)
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 06-01-2025 at 10:35 AM.
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  #2  
Old 02-18-2025, 03:18 PM
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Ankle chip surgery sidelines Magnitude..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-25-2025 at 02:39 PM.
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Old 03-15-2025, 01:05 PM
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$1 million TwinSpires.com Louisiana Derby (G2)

1. John Hancock (Flavien Prat, Brad Cox, 7-2)
2. Chunk of Gold (Jareth Loveberry, Ethan West, 8-1)
3. Tiztastic (Joel Rosario, Steve Asmussen, 8-1)
4. Yinzer (Ben Curtis, Steve Asmussen, 12-1)
5. Caldera (Tyler Gaffalione, D. Wayne Lukas, 5-1)
6. Built (Jose Ortiz, Wayne Catalano, 9-2)
7. Vassimo (Irad Ortiz Jr., Todd Pletcher, 12-1)
8. Furio (Luis Saez, Joe Sharp, 12-1)
9. Instant Replay (Florent Geroux, Brad Cox, 6-1)
10. Hypnus (Brian Hernandez Jr., Ken McPeek, 12-1)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 03-16-2025, 07:45 AM
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 03-21-2025, 09:23 AM
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Brendan Walsh has a colt named Gosger that is a half to a couple graded stakes winning / placed siblings (Harvey’s Lil Goil and Archie the Giza). I see he’s nominated for the Florida Derby.

Anyone have any more details on this horse, if they are trying to get him in the Derby?

IIRC, I had a nice bet on Harvey’s Lil Goil when she made her turf debut. Would be cool to see this colt get in the race.
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  #6  
Old 03-21-2025, 10:24 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Brendan Walsh has a colt named Gosger that is a half to a couple graded stakes winning / placed siblings (Harvey’s Lil Goil and Archie the Giza). I see he’s nominated for the Florida Derby.

Anyone have any more details on this horse, if they are trying to get him in the Derby?

IIRC, I had a nice bet on Harvey’s Lil Goil when she made her turf debut. Would be cool to see this colt get in the race.
Just asked Brendan.. Likely a N1X at KEE.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #7  
Old 03-21-2025, 01:45 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept View Post
Just asked Brendan.. Likely a N1X at KEE.
Thanks Steve. Looking forward to seeing how he progresses.
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Old 04-11-2025, 11:40 AM
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As anticipated, Heart of Honor bypassing Derby, but Preakness/Belmont strong possibility..

Flood Zone won't run..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 04-17-2025 at 04:18 AM.
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  #9  
Old 04-15-2025, 11:49 AM
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River Thames passing; Awaiting Preakness..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #10  
Old 04-16-2025, 09:31 AM
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I just read that Owen Almighty connections have changed their mind and he will be in the Derby.
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  #11  
Old 04-17-2025, 04:16 AM
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Quote:
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I just read that Owen Almighty connections have changed their mind and he will be in the Derby.
It's unbelievable that Lynch has had to deal with this.. winning the Tampa Bay Derby not once, but twice.. and having to accede to owners that insist on running in the Derby.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #12  
Old 04-25-2025, 09:42 AM
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Built to Pat Day Mile, per Aron Wellman. That puts Neoequos into the Kentucky Derby field.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 04-25-2025, 12:22 PM
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Glad to see them decide on the mile for Built. Great decision
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Old 04-25-2025, 12:55 PM
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Render Judgement won't enter Derby leaving BAEZA & CALIFORNIA BURRITO as current AE's #21 and #22..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #15  
Old 04-26-2025, 09:23 AM
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Exclamation Tappan Street injured, out; Render Judgement to enter; Burrito to Pat Day

Condylar KO’s Cox; Render Judgement to enter.. Baeza still 21st..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #16  
Old 04-26-2025, 11:37 AM
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California Burrito will not enter Derby..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #17  
Old 04-26-2025, 07:31 PM
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Kentucky Derby 151 | Churchill Downs | Race 12 | 6:57 pm ET

1-Citizen Bull (Bob Baffert / Martin Garcia) 20-1
2-Neoequous (Saffie Joseph Jr. / Flavien Prat) 30-1
3-Final Gambit (Brad Cox / Luan Machado) 30-1
4-Rodriguez (Bob Baffert / Mike Smith) 12-1
5-American Promise (D. Wayne Lukas / Nik Juarez) 30-1
6-Admire Daytona (Yukihiro Kato / Christophe Lemaire) 30-1
7-Luxor Cafe (Noriyuki Hori / Joao Moreira) 15-1
8-Journalism (Michael McCarthy / Umberto Rispoli) 3-1
9-Burnham Square (Ian Wilkes / Brian Hernandez Jr.) 12-1
10-Grande (Todd Pletcher / John Velazquez) 20-1
11-Flying Mohawk (Whit Beckman / Joe Ramos) 30-1
12-East Avenue (Brendan Walsh / Manny Franco) 20-1
13-Publisher (Steve Asmussen / Irad Ortiz Jr.) 20-1
14-Tiztastic (Steve Asmussen / Joel Rosario) 20-1
15-Render Judgment (Kenny McPeek / Julien Leparoux) 30-1
16-Coal Battle (Lonnie Briley / Juan Vargas) 30-1
17-Sandman (Mark Casse / Jose Ortiz) 6-1
18-Sovereignty (Bill Mott / Junior Alvarado) 5-1
19-Chunk of Gold (Ethan West / Jareth Loveberry) 30-1
20-Owen Almighty (Brian Lynch / Javier Castellano) 30-1
21-Baeza (John Shirreffs / Flavien Prat) AE
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #18  
Old 05-03-2025, 11:01 PM
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It’s crazy to think that a couple days ago, we didn’t know if Baeza was going to make the gate. That horse ran a big race. Running 2nd in one of the major preps should automatically get you in.
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Old 05-04-2025, 08:51 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
It’s crazy to think that a couple days ago, we didn’t know if Baeza was going to make the gate. That horse ran a big race. Running 2nd in one of the major preps should automatically get you in.
Hope to see him run back in the Belmont....I reallly liked him and had him on a few tickets plus a solid win/place bet
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  #20  
Old 05-04-2025, 09:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
Hope to see him run back in the Belmont....I reallly liked him and had him on a few tickets plus a solid win/place bet
He seems the type of horse that could do well there, not sure if the shortest distance this year helps him or hurts him. I’m wondering what Chad’s plan for Garamond is. Hasn’t gone two turns yet but seems to have distance pedigree.
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