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#1
07-14-2024, 05:15 AM
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   Above are the Thoro-Graph looks for the top 3 in the 9th yesterday that produced an $824 triple and I want to slip in an explainer.. TAKING CANDY had the TG Sire Index pattern opportunity I talk about all the time in his first start as a 4yo. Note that Twirling Candy progeny have a TGI (Thoro-Graph Index) of 16 at 2, 13 at 3 and 10.75 at 4. Taking Candy improved 3+ points from 2 to 3 (15.75 down to 12.25) and was now making his 4yo debut having established a career top of 8 as a 3yo, which happened to come at Saratoga in the ALW before the good try in the Saranac (10). His sire index suggests improvement as a 4yo of 2+ points, so you could project him running in the 5-6 range. At 10-1 with the way Cherie is going, he felt like the right price key and he looked a winner every step under confident Jose Lezcano at 6-1. TIDAL FORCES established rock solid credentials with the 4's at Gulfstream over the winter and was a little dirtied up from the Danger Hour try (9) and off turf run (7). At 10-1 (and then crazily ignored at 30-1 in the live betting), he was a one of the ones you wanted to use with Taking Candy. IRISH ACES was the obvious fave and horse to beat, but as I wrote, a regression from the big career best (2) could open things up for alternatives. I used BEUYS who had run lots of 5's as well. He was a mild, chasing 7th. The result of Taking Candy, Tidal Forces and Irish Aces tripped the $824.50 tri. GEORGIE W had paired 3 straights 7's and need to move forward and did to be 4th at 8-1 pushing the Super to $7,650. 
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans Last edited by Kasept : 07-14-2024 at 05:56 AM. 
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