Saratoga Two A Day

[Dahoss]

Day 22

Best bet: Race 5- #4 Lady Milagro
Scratches help this one out a lot as I think she’s alone on the lead as long as she breaks. Torres rides speed well and I think she’s long gone.

Longnshot: Race 6- #5 Provocateur
Last years Hutcheson winner is now with Bill Mott after being sold last fall and has been working well. He held his own with Art Collector in their work two back and I think he falls into a dream spot behind what should be a quick pace. Mott having a strong meet and he hasn’t missed a beat since mid May.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 22

Best bet: Race 5- #4 Lady Milagro
Scratches help this one out a lot as I think she’s alone on the lead as long as she breaks. Torres rides speed well and I think she’s long gone.

Longnshot: Race 6- #5 Provocateur
Last years Hutcheson winner is now with Bill Mott after being sold last fall and has been working well. He held his own with Art Collector in their work two back and I think he falls into a dream spot behind what should be a quick pace. Mott having a strong meet and he hasn’t missed a beat since mid May.

Lady Milagro was lone speed, set a fact pace and held well for 2nd paying $4.60 to place. I thought Provocatuer ran really well. Was on the fast pace, dropped back and then battled well just getting out finished for 2nd. Unfortunately you don’t get paid for running well.

Meet totals
$176 wagered
$129.40 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Deterministic
I really liked the way this colt looked in his August 5th work. Started about 2 lengths behind his workmate, was kept behind him into the stretch and then once he was shown daylight he really extended and picked up his workmate. Ive noticed this is something Clement has done with his two other 2 year old debut winners at the meet. They paid $625,000 for this son of Liam’s Map at the Keeneland September sale which made him the highest priced Liam’s Map sold at the sale.


Longshot: Race 2- #1/1A Entry
I prefer All About Tonite who looked like a little rocket ship in the 7/17 work from the gate. Dam a 3 time winner on the grass and The Factor is a decent grass sire. I think this one is quick and might end up getting lost on the board

[Dahoss]

LOL I suck.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Deterministic
I really liked the way this colt looked in his August 5th work. Started about 2 lengths behind his workmate, was kept behind him into the stretch and then once he was shown daylight he really extended and picked up his workmate. Ive noticed this is something Clement has done with his two other 2 year old debut winners at the meet. They paid $625,000 for this son of Liam’s Map at the Keeneland September sale which made him the highest priced Liam’s Map sold at the sale.


Longshot: Race 2- #1/1A Entry
I prefer All About Tonite who looked like a little rocket ship in the 7/17 work from the gate. Dam a 3 time winner on the grass and The Factor is a decent grass sire. I think this one is quick and might end up getting lost on the board

The entry, more specifically the horse I preferred wasn’t good but I might be interested in the horse next time because he ran like a horse that needed one. Deterministic looked like a horse who has a date with stakes in his future. Off slow and swung widest of all and when he leveled out he ran and won paying $9.10 and $5.20

Meet totals
$184 wagered
$143.70 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 24

I love the card today which means I’ll probably go 0 for 10

Best bet: Race 7- #4 Saint Tapit
This is the kind of horse I normally don’t like. He’s obviously very talented but his last few have been bad. He went to the sidelines after his last bad start in January and didn’t show up on the work tab until June so I assume something was amiss. I really liked his last two works. First he outworked Dreamlike who runs later in the card and then stakes horse Wit. I just think we see his good race today and he should be a fair price.

Longshot: Race 10- #7 Private Creed
Race should feature a fast pace. I can make excuses for his last two. He got involved way too late two back. Last time he found himself ay closer to the pace than normal. Around the turn he bobbled, costing him a few lengths and then he re-engaged and fought down the lane. This is the kind of horse that aRosario usually rides well and Asmussen has been on a roll with his turf sprinters. Hopefully he can pick them all up late

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Day 24

I love the card today which means I’ll probably go 0 for 10

Best bet: Race 7- #4 Saint Tapit
This is the kind of horse I normally don’t like. He’s obviously very talented but his last few have been bad. He went to the sidelines after his last bad start in January and didn’t show up on the work tab until June so I assume something was amiss. I really liked his last two works. First he outworked Dreamlike who runs later in the card and then stakes horse Wit. I just think we see his good race today and he should be a fair price.

Longshot: Race 10- #7 Private Creed
Race should feature a fast pace. I can make excuses for his last two. He got involved way too late two back. Last time he found himself ay closer to the pace than normal. Around the turn he bobbled, costing him a few lengths and then he re-engaged and fought down the lane. This is the kind of horse that aRosario usually rides well and Asmussen has been on a roll with his turf sprinters. Hopefully he can pick them all up late

Saint Tapit was an awful pick. Private Creed ran much better but wasn't able to catch the Adam Rice horse, paying $12.40 to place.

Meet totals
$192 wagered
$156.10 returned

[Dahoss]

Day 25

Best bet: Race 6- #8 Portage
She's looked like a totally different filly in Linda Rice's barn and her last was her best yet. I think she projects to sit a very nice trip outside the speed and Rice has strong numbers with horses who have won their last race coming back.

Longshot: Race 8- #4 Bernt Again
I wanted to go outside the box here in a race that I think will feature some chaos. She's been much improved this year, ran well last time and is drawn well. If Manny can stay inside and find a seem, I think she can be right there