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  #1  
Old 07-14-2023, 12:21 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
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Day 2

Rain destroyed a good portion of what was a pretty good card. Treading lightly, although the dirt races that stayed intact are interesting.

Best bet: Race 9- #7 Unified Alliance
Goes first time for Morley after a game runner up finish last time. I think the 5 1/2 suits her a little better than the anticipated favorite and no reason she can't sit a good trip right behind leaders.

Longshot: Race 8- #5 Emerald Forest
Bit of a stab, but I want a price here, because I'm going to let Jacobson beat me until his horses show they are running better in NY and this one was only beaten a 1/2 length by Happy Farm last time. Goes first off the claim for the Kantermaci's who do a good job with limited stock and I can see this one sitting a good trip right off speed and making first run.
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  #2  
Old 07-15-2023, 12:11 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 2

Rain destroyed a good portion of what was a pretty good card. Treading lightly, although the dirt races that stayed intact are interesting.

Best bet: Race 9- #7 Unified Alliance
Goes first time for Morley after a game runner up finish last time. I think the 5 1/2 suits her a little better than the anticipated favorite and no reason she can't sit a good trip right behind leaders.

Longshot: Race 8- #5 Emerald Forest
Bit of a stab, but I want a price here, because I'm going to let Jacobson beat me until his horses show they are running better in NY and this one was only beaten a 1/2 length by Happy Farm last time. Goes first off the claim for the Kantermaci's who do a good job with limited stock and I can see this one sitting a good trip right off speed and making first run.
Right idea in the 8th, just took the wrong price. Unified Alliance went virtually wire to wire in the 7th paying $7.50 and $3.60.

Meet totals
$16 wagered
$24.10 returned
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  #3  
Old 07-15-2023, 12:15 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Day 3
Best bet: Race 6- #3 Kosuke
Bond barn had one run well yesterday so expect them to start heating up as they usually do here. This one has overachieved in first two and got a big scratch with the 4 coming out. I hope Jaime Torres is aggressive because maybe can make the front and take them all the way.

Longshot: Race 3- #8 No Deli
Ran like a horse who needed one first out. Made a good run around the turn, flattened a bit but that can be expected behind who I think Is a good horse. Expect a much improved effort here
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  #4  
Old 07-15-2023, 02:21 PM
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moses moses is offline
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You might be on to something about the Bond barn getting hot. 45/1 horse almost took that 3rd race.
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  #5  
Old 07-16-2023, 12:02 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 3
Best bet: Race 6- #3 Kosuke
Bond barn had one run well yesterday so expect them to start heating up as they usually do here. This one has overachieved in first two and got a big scratch with the 4 coming out. I hope Jaime Torres is aggressive because maybe can make the front and take them all the way.

Longshot: Race 3- #8 No Deli
Ran like a horse who needed one first out. Made a good run around the turn, flattened a bit but that can be expected behind who I think Is a good horse. Expect a much improved effort here
There are no moral wins in gambling but I felt good about my picks yesterday despite neither winning. The Bond barn is awake, with as Moses mentioning his longshot first timer just missing in the 3rd, where my pick No Deli ran a much improved race, finishing 5th, but losing by less than a length in a blanket finish. Kosuke made the front, but was no match and finished 3rd.

Meet totals
$24 wagered
$24.10 returned
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  #6  
Old 07-16-2023, 12:24 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Day 4

Skull buster of a card, made even more difficult with the track.

Best bet: Race 6- #7 Dreamwithinadream
I think Hiles is very underrated as a trainer and IMO he came here on a mission. I know he was well beaten in his early races but look at who he was facing. There are no Kingsbarns in here. In fact, outside of Ringside who seemed like he was turf meant, no one has much dirt form. He ran much improved last time and I think he’s best here.

Longshot: Race 2- #1 Handle the Truth
Major stab here. It feels like there is some speed in here with the 3 and 5 and I think the 4 and 7 will be close. Her trainer Kerry Metivier doesn’t win much, but hes always one of the first trainers on the grounds since he lives local and always seems to pop with a horse at the meet. Her best fits here and I’m hoping she can pick them up late
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  #7  
Old 07-19-2023, 11:27 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 4

Skull buster of a card, made even more difficult with the track.

Best bet: Race 6- #7 Dreamwithinadream
I think Hiles is very underrated as a trainer and IMO he came here on a mission. I know he was well beaten in his early races but look at who he was facing. There are no Kingsbarns in here. In fact, outside of Ringside who seemed like he was turf meant, no one has much dirt form. He ran much improved last time and I think he’s best here.

Longshot: Race 2- #1 Handle the Truth
Major stab here. It feels like there is some speed in here with the 3 and 5 and I think the 4 and 7 will be close. Her trainer Kerry Metivier doesn’t win much, but hes always one of the first trainers on the grounds since he lives local and always seems to pop with a horse at the meet. Her best fits here and I’m hoping she can pick them up late
Pretty sure Dreamwithinadream is still running. Handle the Truth was 3rd, albeit a well beaten 3rd at 42-1.

Meet totals
$32 wagered
$24.10 returned
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  #8  
Old 07-19-2023, 11:35 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Day 5

Best bet: Race 7- #6 Golden Rocket
This overachiever came back last time with a nice race against stakes horses. She got a great ride that day and while she beat Runaway Rumour, that one did not look good the last 1/8. Even so, she won here last year and should get some pace to run at.

Longshot: Race 9- #1 Miss Domina
Should be a fair pace here, would like to see Jose drop back from the outside draw and make one run. She appears to be working well time wise since she's been here and is fresh.
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  #9  
Old 07-16-2023, 01:50 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
There are no moral wins in gambling but I felt good about my picks yesterday despite neither winning. The Bond barn is awake, with as Moses mentioning his longshot first timer just missing in the 3rd, where my pick No Deli ran a much improved race, finishing 5th, but losing by less than a length in a blanket finish. Kosuke made the front, but was no match and finished 3rd.

Meet totals
$24 wagered
$24.10 returned
Couldn't help but revisit this comment in my mind watching the 2nd - hope you caught the tri.
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