Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Joe Silverio Simulcast Center
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #141  
Old 08-06-2022, 10:07 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Edit
Why'd you edit? Cat got your tongue?
Reply With Quote
  #142  
Old 08-07-2022, 08:20 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 18

Best bet: Race 11- #4 Nations Pride
I thought he took the worst of it last time, moving up steadily in the backstretch and then lost position around the turn when he was kept behind the tiring runner who made the silly middle move. Found himself a little behind Stone Age around the turn (who had a much cleaner trip and saved all the ground) and actually outfinished that one. No free rides for Classic Causeway today and Nations Pride gets Appleby's go to rider for this.

Longshot: Race 3- #6 Impazible Donna
Think this race has the chance to fall apart and this filly has run well here in the past. Levine barn waking up a bit and when Flying P starts winning races, they tend to win them in bunches. Should be 4th or 5th choice in here and seems to be working up a storm.
Nations Pride got the job done paying $6.20 and $3.40. Impazible Donna was closer to the pace than I thought she'd be and ran a so-so 3rd.

Meet totals
$144 wagered
$160 returned
Reply With Quote
  #143  
Old 08-07-2022, 08:25 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 19

Best bet: Race 7- #3 With the Moonlight
Small but really strong field. I think this filly holds a distinct pace advantage here and am hoping for a Buick/Appleby sweep this weekend. Nations Pride ran a much improved race second time here and I'm hoping for the same here.

Longshot: Race 9- #2 Nazuna
Bit of a stab here, but I think she's improving for Chad Brown. Will be lost on the board and if she can take another step forward, is not that far off some of these. I think she will be in a good spot behind the speed and will get first run on the closers. Anytime you can get over 10-1 on Prat/Chad Brown, not a bad idea to take it.
Reply With Quote
  #144  
Old 08-10-2022, 09:56 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 19

Best bet: Race 7- #3 With the Moonlight
Small but really strong field. I think this filly holds a distinct pace advantage here and am hoping for a Buick/Appleby sweep this weekend. Nations Pride ran a much improved race second time here and I'm hoping for the same here.

Longshot: Race 9- #2 Nazuna
Bit of a stab here, but I think she's improving for Chad Brown. Will be lost on the board and if she can take another step forward, is not that far off some of these. I think she will be in a good spot behind the speed and will get first run on the closers. Anytime you can get over 10-1 on Prat/Chad Brown, not a bad idea to take it.
With the Moonlight won, paying $4.30 and $2.30, Nazuna was a non threatening 7th.

Meet totals
$152 wagered
$166.60 returned
Reply With Quote
  #145  
Old 08-10-2022, 10:01 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 20

Best bet: Race 10- #7 Running Bee
Nice effort against big maiden breaker Capenesis, who didn't return to run very well here a few weeks back, but he didn't have the smoothest of trips. This one has been 2nd in both career starts, and really took a step forward last time. Seems to be working well and should be well placed.

Longshot: Race 7- #9 Montatham
Classic cutback here. I'm not really crazy about any of the horses coming out of the 7/14 sprint here and wanted tot take a shot with a horse who I think might be better sprinting. Should get first run on closers and the route races should have him plenty fit.
Reply With Quote
  #146  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:24 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 20

Best bet: Race 10- #7 Running Bee
Nice effort against big maiden breaker Capenesis, who didn't return to run very well here a few weeks back, but he didn't have the smoothest of trips. This one has been 2nd in both career starts, and really took a step forward last time. Seems to be working well and should be well placed.

Longshot: Race 7- #9 Montatham
Classic cutback here. I'm not really crazy about any of the horses coming out of the 7/14 sprint here and wanted tot take a shot with a horse who I think might be better sprinting. Should get first run on closers and the route races should have him plenty fit.
Running Bee won easily, paying $6.70 and $3.70. Montatham also won (at 9-1), but was DQ'd because the stewards are inept and overreacted because a horse who was stopping and was piloted by a moron clipped heels and fell. Yeah, still mad about it as it cost me about 5k.

Meet totals
$160 wagered
$177 returned
Reply With Quote
  #147  
Old 08-11-2022, 10:33 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 21

Best bet: Race 4- #1 Ghost Giant
Has apparently been working well since his last. I thought he ran well last time, while being blocked just as he was hitting stride. Should get plenty of pace to run at and I think he runs them down late.

Longshot: Race 10- #6 Aleste
I have no idea what she's actually going to go off at. She's 6-1 on the ML, so she might get bet, in which case "longshot" doesn't really apply. But I think there is a lot to like about this filly. Second dam won multiple stakes on grass. More importantly, I watched her hold her own while working with graded stake winner Rinaldi last month on grass. No world beaters here and the Bond barn has woken up after a tough Belmont. I think there might be some talent here.
Reply With Quote
  #148  
Old 08-11-2022, 11:40 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Did Vic really delete his post in this thread?

That was quite a performance he put on this week bullying fellow announcer Craig Braddick (again.) Announcer brotherhood don't ya know.
Reply With Quote
  #149  
Old 08-11-2022, 12:45 PM
jms62's Avatar
jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,825
Default

Omar Moreno threw that race. He stopped on his horse was looking around and then half assed it...
__________________
Game Over
Reply With Quote
  #150  
Old 08-11-2022, 05:48 PM
fpsoxfan's Avatar
fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
Oaklawn
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Fort Plain
Posts: 2,485
Default

Keep up the good work Hossy. I check your picks every day. I appreciate your work. It’s fun to follow.
Reply With Quote
  #151  
Old 08-12-2022, 10:41 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by fpsoxfan View Post
Keep up the good work Hossy. I check your picks every day. I appreciate your work. It’s fun to follow.
Thanks buddy. Hope all is well
Reply With Quote
  #152  
Old 08-12-2022, 10:43 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 21

Best bet: Race 4- #1 Ghost Giant
Has apparently been working well since his last. I thought he ran well last time, while being blocked just as he was hitting stride. Should get plenty of pace to run at and I think he runs them down late.

Longshot: Race 10- #6 Aleste
I have no idea what she's actually going to go off at. She's 6-1 on the ML, so she might get bet, in which case "longshot" doesn't really apply. But I think there is a lot to like about this filly. Second dam won multiple stakes on grass. More importantly, I watched her hold her own while working with graded stake winner Rinaldi last month on grass. No world beaters here and the Bond barn has woken up after a tough Belmont. I think there might be some talent here.
Ghost Giant got a very good ride and just got up, paying $14.80 and $7.10. I really blew the last. Saratoga Chrome was my best bet on Day 3 of the meet and ran so bad. Back yesterday with Rosario and wins. Should have had that one.

Meet totals
$168 wagered
$198.90 returned

Last edited by Dahoss : 08-12-2022 at 11:06 AM.
Reply With Quote
  #153  
Old 08-12-2022, 10:48 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 22

Don't like this card at all today.

Best bet- Race 8- #3 Tiergan
Just romped up here, fresh off the claim and should sit another good trip. Recency edge on Bankit and feels like the now horse.

Longshot: Race 10- #6 Classic Lynne
Good effort last time off the layoff. Made a winning move and got tired late. Like the jock switch, should be more fit this time and I'm hoping she gets lost on the board.
Reply With Quote
  #154  
Old 08-13-2022, 09:22 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 22

Don't like this card at all today.

Best bet- Race 8- #3 Tiergan
Just romped up here, fresh off the claim and should sit another good trip. Recency edge on Bankit and feels like the now horse.

Longshot: Race 10- #6 Classic Lynne
Good effort last time off the layoff. Made a winning move and got tired late. Like the jock switch, should be more fit this time and I'm hoping she gets lost on the board.
Didn't like the card and my picks ran like it. Might give Classic Lynne another look next time. 3 wide throughout is not the kind of trip you wanted on the inner yesterday (or any day for that matter)

Meet totals
$176 wagered
$198.90 returned
Reply With Quote
  #155  
Old 08-13-2022, 09:34 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #8 Captainsdaughter
Ultimately I just think she's a better horse than these. Was competitive sprinting in stakes, ran okay going 9 furlongs last time, is drawn well outside and I think the cutback is the key here. I can't imagine her ML holds up, but I think she's going to be very tough to beat today

Longshot: Race 8- #5 Piqua
Bit of a stab, as I think there is a lot going on in this race. I guess Portfolio Company is the horse to beat, but he's not exactly a winning machine and he's disappointed a lot at short prices. I'll use him defensively in the pick 5 as well as Constitutionallawyer and Daunt and I flirted with picking Daunt but the post scares me. I think he runs a big one today. As for Piqua, he hardly disgraced himself here last summer. Returned from an 11 month break last time and was game in winning at Laurel. I think he falls into the right trip here, behind the speed, inside and he's tactical enough that if Junior is able to follow Rosario, maybe he can spring the upset. Fun race.
Reply With Quote
  #156  
Old 08-13-2022, 04:14 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

All Junior had to do on Piqua was follow Rosario. I said it 7 hours ago.
Reply With Quote
  #157  
Old 08-14-2022, 11:37 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 23

Best bet: Race 5- #8 Captainsdaughter
Ultimately I just think she's a better horse than these. Was competitive sprinting in stakes, ran okay going 9 furlongs last time, is drawn well outside and I think the cutback is the key here. I can't imagine her ML holds up, but I think she's going to be very tough to beat today

Longshot: Race 8- #5 Piqua
Bit of a stab, as I think there is a lot going on in this race. I guess Portfolio Company is the horse to beat, but he's not exactly a winning machine and he's disappointed a lot at short prices. I'll use him defensively in the pick 5 as well as Constitutionallawyer and Daunt and I flirted with picking Daunt but the post scares me. I think he runs a big one today. As for Piqua, he hardly disgraced himself here last summer. Returned from an 11 month break last time and was game in winning at Laurel. I think he falls into the right trip here, behind the speed, inside and he's tactical enough that if Junior is able to follow Rosario, maybe he can spring the upset. Fun race.
Captainsdaughter was bad, but she broke on top, Jose Gomez yanked her back and then kept her in the 8 path the entire race for reasons that only he knows. Nice ride by Jackie Davis on the winner.

Piqua was probably best at 14-1 but for some reason Junior didn't want to follow the even money favorite and instead tipped out wide. He flew home missing 2nd by a neck and the win by 3/4's of a length. Frustrating day.

Meet totals
$184 wagered
$198.90 returned
Reply With Quote
  #158  
Old 08-14-2022, 12:16 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Day 24
Week 5 comes to a close today. Some frustrating beats, DQ's and rides this week, but lots of great racing to go.

Best bet: Race 10- #5 Hatch
I wanted this horse last time on grass, as he's bred very well for it. The race was washed off very close to post and he ran blah to be 4th. Was claimed by Carlos Martin off that effort and he immediately puts him on grass. The Martin barn has sent out some winners and Rosario hops on. I just think this horse will step up big time on grass and with the exception of favorite Reckless Spirit, I think all of the others have big question marks

Longshot: Race 2- Shesjustanicegirl
Loved her last work, plenty of turf breeding and the Justify's have come out running. Dam is a 1/2 to Escena and has two foals to win on grass. Cherie can have one ready first out and should be nice price.
Reply With Quote
  #159  
Old 08-15-2022, 08:46 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by UncleBenelli View Post
Jockey blaming is just rationalizing a bad pick. Your ego is so huge, you feel the need to explain your loss. No different then commenting on every post on every page on every topic. The need to fuel such a large ego must be exhausting. The I am the best look at me, attack others, and kick and scream all the way down the hall to your bedroom.
Exhausting , I feel and pray for you. Therapist can help with Narcissist's ,
but not with the form reading.

God bless the unfortunate.
I appreciate the prayers.

Just want to remind you that you’re now on month 5 of having your feelings hurt because you came on here claiming extravagant hits and myself and about 5 others questioned you on it. When questioned, you did what all frauds do. You lashed out, tried to be confusing and everyone saw through your BS.

Five months is a pretty long time to still be so upset. You claimed “documented” scores over the years on every Derby trifecta. I simply asked where I could find this documentation. You had another meltdown/ tantrum.

But the real kicker is when you told AZDave that you were me when you met him. Then when I called you on it, you tried to lie, because that’s what liars do. Then I showed you proof and you went into hiding for a few weeks.

Again, five months is a long time to still be so upset by the words of a complete stranger. Maybe you should be praying for yourself instead. I can’t help that you’re a jealous guy and no one listens to your podcast. Hopefully you get the help you need. You don’t have to be such a jealous loser. It’s a choice at this point.

Be better
Reply With Quote
  #160  
Old 08-15-2022, 09:28 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
Default

Just to clarify, you claim I have a big ego and then tell me I only wish I had access to your world. Hilarious!

What a beautiful trip down memory lane. Learning about your father was fascinating. Was he a jealous loser too or did you pick that up all on your own?

You’ve never provided any documentation of anything. You told us about your podcast that no one listens to and when you told us about it you didn’t even spell the guys name right that does it with you.

I provided proof of the AZDave stuff. It’s in this thread. You can’t lie when there are receipts. Your pro handicapper stuff is hilarious. You have no idea what you’re talking about.

Once again…5 months now and you still have hurt feelings. Get some help. Be better.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:14 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.