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  #1  
Old 08-04-2022, 12:18 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 15
Best bet: Race 8- #2 Must Be Love
To me, this race has to fall apart with all of the speed signed up and I wanted to take the fresh face, for a barn having success this meet. Goes first out for Rudy's brother off the private purchase and hopefully can get up late

Longshot: Race 2- #5 Mike's Little Diva
Took money in debut in what has become the most live NYB maiden run this year. Broke well and was just behind the expensive Pletcher repeater when she retreated. She was 5-1 in the ML that day and Aragona is usually pretty on it. Not that it means anything. Ultimately I think the drop makes sense and maybe she breaks and takes them a long way
The 8th never fell apart as I hoped as the top 3 finishes basically ran 1-2-3 around the track. Must Be Love actually out in a nice run from last to get 4th and was the only one to make up any ground, but was non threatening. Mike's Little Diva was bad. Bad pick

Meet totals
$120 wagered
$126.70 returned
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  #2  
Old 08-04-2022, 12:46 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
Posts: 10,293
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Day 16

Best Bet: Race 7- #7 Alwayz Late
I flirted with putting the Klaravich firster in race 2 here, because I watched her work last week where she held her own against an older filly from Chad's barn, but ultimately chose against it. Alwayz Late had no shot last time behind a crawling pace and also got a less than enthusiastic ride by Jose Ortiz through the lane. Gets much more speed to run at, Moot barn won a couple yesterday and she should be up in time today.

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Who Me
He was off slow in his debut and then made a prolonged run around the turn to get within a few of the lead and tired after that. Adds lasix and more importantly stretches out. Should have gotten a lot out of the debut and Rosario ends up here instead of the Clement firster. Dam side is all turf and long on the turf. Dam was unraced but is a half to a few very nice turf runners and her dam was a 10 time turf winner and earned over 700k on grass going long. 10-1 ML more than fair
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  #3  
Old 08-04-2022, 05:21 PM
Filly from Philly
 
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Default Same Race

OMG !! #3Spicy Marg Lone Speed my BB and your #7 that was the Exactor !! With Marg on Top ... good one !!! Let's do it again tomorrow !!!
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  #4  
Old 08-05-2022, 01:33 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 16

Best Bet: Race 7- #7 Alwayz Late
I flirted with putting the Klaravich firster in race 2 here, because I watched her work last week where she held her own against an older filly from Chad's barn, but ultimately chose against it. Alwayz Late had no shot last time behind a crawling pace and also got a less than enthusiastic ride by Jose Ortiz through the lane. Gets much more speed to run at, Moot barn won a couple yesterday and she should be up in time today.

Longshot: Race 6- #1 Who Me
He was off slow in his debut and then made a prolonged run around the turn to get within a few of the lead and tired after that. Adds lasix and more importantly stretches out. Should have gotten a lot out of the debut and Rosario ends up here instead of the Clement firster. Dam side is all turf and long on the turf. Dam was unraced but is a half to a few very nice turf runners and her dam was a 10 time turf winner and earned over 700k on grass going long. 10-1 ML more than fair
Who Me showed speed from the inside but tired badly. Not much there. Alwayz Late an unlucky loser, paying $5.40 to place

Meet totals
$128 wagered
$132.10 returned
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  #5  
Old 08-05-2022, 01:39 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
Join Date: Jul 2010
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Day 17

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Rheaume
Just missed last time, I'm against the probable favorite Shad Nation who I don't think is very good. This one has been brought along nice and easy by Dickinson and showed last time she can go long. Figures to sit a nice trip tactically and I just feel she's better than these.

Longshot: Race 4- #7 Gandy Dancing
Loves this track, although that was in the Chad Brown barn. I think he fits here though and again, hard to ignore record at the track. Drawn well and should sit in catbird seat and connections ensure large price. Want to take a shot in this race and this one seems as logical as any
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  #6  
Old 08-05-2022, 02:57 PM
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casp0555 casp0555 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Location: Humble,Texas
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I think the bettors saw the same thing you were seeing on Gandy Dancing...nice pick
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  #7  
Old 08-05-2022, 03:13 PM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
I think the bettors saw the same thing you were seeing on Gandy Dancing...nice pick
Thanks….7/2 was crazy low though. I’m never usually in on a “they knew” kind of horse
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  #8  
Old 08-05-2022, 07:15 PM
theguarantee theguarantee is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: NY
Posts: 387
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As entertaining as some of it is I’m not interested in getting bogged down in some of the debates but will say great capping so far this meet. Hope you can keep it rolling. Curious if you have a take on the Whitney tomorrow? I think there have been a couple times people have talked themselves into “what would a couple hopeless longshots add to this field?” this year but I think in this case it couldn’t be more true…I haven’t made up my mind yet but what a fantastic showdown….
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  #9  
Old 08-06-2022, 10:07 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
Keeneland
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 17

Best bet: Race 5- #5 Rheaume
Just missed last time, I'm against the probable favorite Shad Nation who I don't think is very good. This one has been brought along nice and easy by Dickinson and showed last time she can go long. Figures to sit a nice trip tactically and I just feel she's better than these.

Longshot: Race 4- #7 Gandy Dancing
Loves this track, although that was in the Chad Brown barn. I think he fits here though and again, hard to ignore record at the track. Drawn well and should sit in catbird seat and connections ensure large price. Want to take a shot in this race and this one seems as logical as any
Apparently I wasn't the only one who saw some things to like in Gandy Dancing as he romped and was bet down to 7/2 from his 10-1 ML, paying $9.60 and $4.90. Rheaume ran well and lost the photo paying $3.80 to place

Meet totals
$136 wagered
$150.40 returned
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  #10  
Old 08-06-2022, 10:13 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Day 18

Best bet: Race 11- #4 Nations Pride
I thought he took the worst of it last time, moving up steadily in the backstretch and then lost position around the turn when he was kept behind the tiring runner who made the silly middle move. Found himself a little behind Stone Age around the turn (who had a much cleaner trip and saved all the ground) and actually outfinished that one. No free rides for Classic Causeway today and Nations Pride gets Appleby's go to rider for this.

Longshot: Race 3- #6 Impazible Donna
Think this race has the chance to fall apart and this filly has run well here in the past. Levine barn waking up a bit and when Flying P starts winning races, they tend to win them in bunches. Should be 4th or 5th choice in here and seems to be working up a storm.
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  #11  
Old 08-06-2022, 11:21 AM
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moses moses is offline
Oriental Park
 
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Almost went with Nations Pride as well. Probably a good thing for you that I didn’t. Good luck.
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  #12  
Old 08-07-2022, 09:20 AM
Dahoss Dahoss is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
Day 18

Best bet: Race 11- #4 Nations Pride
I thought he took the worst of it last time, moving up steadily in the backstretch and then lost position around the turn when he was kept behind the tiring runner who made the silly middle move. Found himself a little behind Stone Age around the turn (who had a much cleaner trip and saved all the ground) and actually outfinished that one. No free rides for Classic Causeway today and Nations Pride gets Appleby's go to rider for this.

Longshot: Race 3- #6 Impazible Donna
Think this race has the chance to fall apart and this filly has run well here in the past. Levine barn waking up a bit and when Flying P starts winning races, they tend to win them in bunches. Should be 4th or 5th choice in here and seems to be working up a storm.
Nations Pride got the job done paying $6.20 and $3.40. Impazible Donna was closer to the pace than I thought she'd be and ran a so-so 3rd.

Meet totals
$144 wagered
$160 returned
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