March 26 Fairgrounds Points Picks go here . . .

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by Eclipse

I just finished handicapping the whole card and when I start this analyze every entrant without respect to ML odds, figure out in what order I think they'll finish then compare my selections to the ML. Usually it's pretty close but tomorrow's card at FG has lots of ML odds that don't seem very well thought out, and like you wrote I saw 8/1 and 6/1 on many horses often in the same field, horses that upon examination did not seem likely to have equal odds at post time.

At the risk of beating this drum too often, I listed the 6 horses in race 2 that were all listed at 8-1 in the ML and compared them to the actual post time odds, which the ML is supposed to predict:

#3 Urban Recovery - 15-1
#5 McGolden - 24-1
#7 Tepeu - 5-1
#8 My Brother Patrick - 8-1
#9 Madison Luvs Duke - 29-1
#10 Beyblader - 6-1

I know it is difficult to future events, but this line was waaaay too far off. The fans deserve better.