Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Contests > Call to the Post
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-12-2022, 11:43 AM
DonGuido's Avatar
DonGuido DonGuido is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Oct 2014
Location: Dallas, Texas
Posts: 4,127
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Eclipse View Post
Thank you for this tip, DonGuido. I just started regularly betting late last year, have had good success especially show and place, and sometimes with win bets, but so far every time I've tried any kind of exotic I've lost, and I hate losing money, so I then go back to show, place and win to stay safe. Since I'm getting better at picking winners now, will try your system to try and hit an exacta.

And congratulations on another win!
Eclipse, I'm just hitting a lucky streak in picking the right races to bet my simple exacta. There are many players here that know much more about wagering on horses than I do. I could name them but the list would be way too long.

I am an advocate of the KISS principle for ure.
__________________
The wind of heaven is that which blows between a horse’s ears – Arabian Proverb
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-12-2022, 01:33 PM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 6,044
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by DonGuido View Post
Eclipse, I'm just hitting a lucky streak in picking the right races to bet my simple exacta. There are many players here that know much more about wagering on horses than I do. I could name them but the list would be way too long.

I am an advocate of the KISS principle for ure.
Maybe it's a lucky streak and maybe not. I think you are being too modest. I never did buy that you were a poor handicapper. You always did too well in the points contest.

Probably even us grizzled old timers could benefit from emulating you, but I doubt if we will. Most of us are a bit timid with respect to the going "all in" with a single bet in a single race, with the exception of Roamin and his all in win bets and Digger with his all in show bets.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-14-2022, 12:42 AM
Eclipse's Avatar
Eclipse Eclipse is offline
Suffolk Downs
 
Join Date: Nov 2021
Location: Northern Lights
Posts: 123
Default

Thank you all. Especially since I've learned so much about betting in my brief time here so far, thought I would share a betting strategy that has yielded me considerable success (keep in mind I'm a total novice!). Find a race with a good sized field you want to bet, handicap every horse without respect to odds, eliminate those you feel have no reasonable chance to hit the board, also of those remaining eliminate favorites/short prices. Then compare the remaining horses to TwinSpires "profit line" odds, and bet horses to place or show, depending on your confidence in the horse, if their live odds are above the profit line odds. Good luck!
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:05 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.