7/15: Saratoga (Day 1-Schuylerville/Quick Call)

Kasept · #1 07-14-2021, 08:18 PM

SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Wagon Boss 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Charlie'sarchangel 3-1 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #9 Hammerin Aamer 5-2 6th
Super Add: #6 Flowers for Lisa 9-2 4th

2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Speedometer 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #8 Frosted Oats 5-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Microbiome 5-2 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #7 Zmuda 6-1 4th

3rd: ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Smile Bryan 10-1 WON ($15.40)
Next Best: #9 St. Joe Louis 8-5 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Point By Me 6-1 4th
Super Add: #7 So Suave 5-1 5th

4th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Rose E Holiday 15-1 4th
Next Best: #10 Big Bad Diva 9-2 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #4 Kerik 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Gem Key 9-2 5th

5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD))

Most Likely: #3 Lady Scarlet 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Solasta 4-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Echo Zulu 7-2 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #10 Rolin N Controlin 12-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 4-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 8-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-6-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-10 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
5: 3 (A), 6 (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (7 in 5th): 4-5-9 w/ 8-9 w/ 3-6-9 w/ 5-10 w/ 7 (3x2x3x3x1 = 54 x .50 = $27)

P4 Grid:

2: 8-9 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
3: 3-6-9 (A), - (B), 7 (C)
4: 5-10 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
5: 3-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x3 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 7 in 3rd (2x1x2x3 = 12 x .50 = $6)

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/3/1,2,7,8,10,11,12/7) Paid $283.75

6th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Kitten by the Sea 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Jazzy Lady 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Alba's Star 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #10 Two Cent Tootsie 5-1 8th

7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Southern District 4-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Dust Devil 6-1 7th
Next Best: #1 (POE) Arham 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Yearn for Victory 10-1 9th

8th: Quick Call (G3), 3yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Golden Pal 1-2 WON ($2.40)
Best Value: #4 Omaha City 20-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Rebel Posse 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Jaxon Traveler 3-1 3rd

9th: Schuylerville (G3), 2yo-F, 5.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mainstay 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Eagle Express 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Velvet Sister 8-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Cartel Queen 12-1 6th

10th: NY-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #8 Clever Fellow 8-5
Next Best: #7 Viking Zim 6-1 4th
Best Value: #6 Dreampoint 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #12 Ruse 5-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

Favorites look very imposing in this sequence..

6: 5-11 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
7: 2-8 (A), 1-4-6 (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 8 (A), - (B), 7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x1x1x1 = 10 x $5 = $50
All A's: 2x2x1x1x1 = 4 x $5 = $20
$1 Backups: $18 ~ $2 (2) + $4 (4-8) + $8 (2-8) + $4 (7)

P4 Grid:

7: 1-2-4-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3 (A), 4-8 (B), - (C)
9: 2 (A), - (B), 4-8 (C)
10: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x2 = 30 x $1.50 = $45
All A's: 5x1x1x2 = 10 x $2 = $20
Backup with 2-8 in 9th: 1-2-4-6-8 w/ 3 w/ 2-8 w/ 7-8 = 20 x .50 = $10

Good luck!
Steve