5/1 (CD): 147th Kentucky Derby

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by moses

I am probably in the minority but I love the draw for Known Agenda. With the new starting gate and the fact he wouldn't be an early pace setter, he could get a nice rail trip. He'll have to negotiate some traffic but he's got Irad aboard and has shown he can take kickback and move through traffic.

And the post might scare some potential bettors away, so you might get a higher price on him than you would otherwise.

Any horse in the 1 hole is going to get avoided by the experienced bettors.
But why do one when you can cover 3. If you look at the odds of last last few years of the horse in the 1 hole a show bet on him will probably pay 10-1+. In 2017 Lookin at lee paid 15.20. Thats a good bet.

https://www.equibase.com/premium/cha...7&cy=USA&rn=12

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by richard burch

Any horse in the 1 hole is going to get avoided by the experienced bettors.
But why do one when you can cover 3. If you look at the odds of last last few years of the horse in the 1 hole a show bet on him will probably pay 10-1+. In 2017 Lookin at lee paid 15.20. Thats a good bet.

https://www.equibase.com/premium/cha...7&cy=USA&rn=12

Lookin at Lee was 33-1. Known Agenda will not be anywhere near 33-1.