Derby Trail Probables/Possibles

[jms62]

Originally Posted by moses

Does anyone have the numbers on a horse going 8+ weeks without a race and running in the Derby? I know the numbers aren’t good wondering just how bad they are.

Hypothetical question. If 5 horses qualified for that last year and one won would you say 1 for 5 or 1 for 1? Most times people look at stats like this it would be 1 for 5 so it always appears way worse than it is.

[moses]

Originally Posted by jms62

Hypothetical question. If 5 horses qualified for that last year and one won would you say 1 for 5 or 1 for 1? Most times people look at stats like this it would be 1 for 5 so it always appears way worse than it is.

Good point. I would say 1 for 5, but I’d be curious to know how many improved from their prior race. I might have to go through each race and see.

[moses]

I'm editing this post about Concert Tour. Twitter seemed to be abuzz about him today but it looks like he's been at Churchill since last week.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Steve - I swear I saw on twitter that Concert Tour was on track at Churchill Downs this morning. Not sure if you or anyone else knows anything about it, but is there any reason they would send him to Churchill?

Yes. He's out every day during the Derby/Oaks session. He came here after the AR Derby.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Yes. He's out every day during the Derby/Oaks session. He came here after the AR Derby.

Thanks. I think I'm giving too much attention to the twitterverse and some of the theories that are pushed on there.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by moses

Thanks. I think I'm giving too much attention to the twitterverse and some of the theories that are pushed on there.

As long as you don't go looking for pizzeria basements.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Kasept

As long as you don't go looking for pizzeria basements.

No worries about that. I don’t have a Parler account.