Saratoga Two A Day Part Deux

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Nada on both

Meet totals
$176 wagered
$93.80 returned

Day 23
Best bet- Race 8- #4 Domestic Spending- I think today is his coming out party. As good as Decorated Invader is, I think the added distance helps my pick more and is set up for a big effort
Longshot- Race 11- #3 Brickyard- not the best of rides last time, would’ve been right there with clean trio and has some upside unlike a lot of these

Domestic Spending got it done, paying $16.40 and $5.70. Brickyard moved too soon into a race that collapsed but at the end of the day it wouldn’t have mattered.

Meet totals
$184 bet
$115.90

Day 24 Don’t like today’s card at all and will be treading lightly, but...
Best bet- Race 10- #4 Red Zinger- the move from Contessa to Englehart alone has to be worth many lengths and this one had some ability at some point. Should sit a good trip in the second flight
Longshot- Race 9- #5 Key Biscayne- the Mott Euro is the wildcard, so maybe she’s really good, but of the horses coming out of the Lake Placid, Key Biscayne is the one I want. She was wide while the others all saved ground and was making up some ground late. She’s going to be in the 15-1 range, and I’d love to see Manny get aggressive because she had some tactical speed earlier in her career.

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Domestic Spending got it done, paying $16.40 and $5.70. Brickyard moved too soon into a race that collapsed but at the end of the day it wouldn’t have mattered.

Meet totals
$184 bet
$115.90

Day 24 Don’t like today’s card at all and will be treading lightly, but...
Best bet- Race 10- #4 Red Zinger- the move from Contessa to Englehart alone has to be worth many lengths and this one had some ability at some point. Should sit a good trip in the second flight
Longshot- Race 9- #5 Key Biscayne- the Mott Euro is the wildcard, so maybe she’s really good, but of the horses coming out of the Lake Placid, Key Biscayne is the one I want. She was wide while the others all saved ground and was making up some ground late. She’s going to be in the 15-1 range, and I’d love to see Manny get aggressive because she had some tactical speed earlier in her career.

Nice call on Domestic Spending and at a very nice price for a Chad Brown turf horse.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

Nice call on Domestic Spending and at a very nice price for a Chad Brown turf horse.

Thanks man. Always nice when your opinion on a horse is proven correct, especially after so many tough meets.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Domestic Spending got it done, paying $16.40 and $5.70. Brickyard moved too soon into a race that collapsed but at the end of the day it wouldn’t have mattered.

Meet totals
$184 bet
$115.90

Day 24 Don’t like today’s card at all and will be treading lightly, but...
Best bet- Race 10- #4 Red Zinger- the move from Contessa to Englehart alone has to be worth many lengths and this one had some ability at some point. Should sit a good trip in the second flight
Longshot- Race 9- #5 Key Biscayne- the Mott Euro is the wildcard, so maybe she’s really good, but of the horses coming out of the Lake Placid, Key Biscayne is the one I want. She was wide while the others all saved ground and was making up some ground late. She’s going to be in the 15-1 range, and I’d love to see Manny get aggressive because she had some tactical speed earlier in her career.

Key Biscayne an okay 3rd at a big price. Red Zinger was awful

Meet totals
$192 bet
$115.90 returned

Day 25
Best bet- Race 6- #1 Rivendell- was very good breaking maiden in debut and finds a field where it is hard to have much confidence in anyone else. Might be pretty good.
Longshot- Race 9- #10 Little Red Button- another impossible field but at least this one has moved forward in each grass start. First time going two turns and post no bargain but hopefully Cancel can save ground

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Key Biscayne an okay 3rd at a big price. Red Zinger was awful

Meet totals
$192 bet
$115.90 returned

Day 25
Best bet- Race 6- #1 Rivendell- was very good breaking maiden in debut and finds a field where it is hard to have much confidence in anyone else. Might be pretty good.
Longshot- Race 9- #10 Little Red Button- another impossible field but at least this one has moved forward in each grass start. First time going two turns and post no bargain but hopefully Cancel can save ground

I was thinking about picking Rivendell as my best bet but also like Bareeqa there and couldn't decide between the two. The way my picks have been going lately, me not picking Rivendell probably just put her in the winners circle for you.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Key Biscayne an okay 3rd at a big price. Red Zinger was awful

Meet totals
$192 bet
$115.90 returned

Day 25
Best bet- Race 6- #1 Rivendell- was very good breaking maiden in debut and finds a field where it is hard to have much confidence in anyone else. Might be pretty good.
Longshot- Race 9- #10 Little Red Button- another impossible field but at least this one has moved forward in each grass start. First time going two turns and post no bargain but hopefully Cancel can save ground

Rivendell seemed to struggle with the going and Little Red Button a good 3rd but weakened late.

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$115.90 returned

Day 26- treading very lightly today. Not thrilled with the card, seems chalky.
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Wild William- Maybe Aragona is right with the ML, but I don’t understand liking or betting Big Wonder at 8/5. Wild William has faced much better recently, had some trouble last time and trainer is having a good meet. I think he figures to sit a good trip and should be a fair price.
Longshot- Race 9- #6 Foolish Ghost- the speed of the speed, drawn well outside other potential speed horses, hoping he can get brave

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Rivendell seemed to struggle with the going and Little Red Button a good 3rd but weakened late.

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$115.90 returned

Day 26- treading very lightly today. Not thrilled with the card, seems chalky.
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Wild William- Maybe Aragona is right with the ML, but I don’t understand liking or betting Big Wonder at 8/5. Wild William has faced much better recently, had some trouble last time and trainer is having a good meet. I think he figures to sit a good trip and should be a fair price.
Longshot- Race 9- #6 Foolish Ghost- the speed of the speed, drawn well outside other potential speed horses, hoping he can get brave

Great calls today. I’ve got to regroup. I think I’ve been focusing too much on trying to pick longshots.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by moses

Great calls today. I’ve got to regroup. I think I’ve been focusing too much on trying to pick longshots.

Thanks buddy. I was due. Not sure if it’s a good thing or a bad thing that I hated the card and had my best day all meet.

[gamblin4ever]

Good calls today

[Kasept]

Nice work Hossy!

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by gamblin4ever

Good calls today

Thanks

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Rivendell seemed to struggle with the going and Little Red Button a good 3rd but weakened late.

Meet totals
$200 wagered
$115.90 returned

Day 26- treading very lightly today. Not thrilled with the card, seems chalky.
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Wild William- Maybe Aragona is right with the ML, but I don’t understand liking or betting Big Wonder at 8/5. Wild William has faced much better recently, had some trouble last time and trainer is having a good meet. I think he figures to sit a good trip and should be a fair price.
Longshot- Race 9- #6 Foolish Ghost- the speed of the speed, drawn well outside other potential speed horses, hoping he can get brave

Wild William got a brilliant ride by Luis Saez, sending hard and took them wire to wire paying $11.40 and $4.50. Foolish Ghost broke running, was headed late and came back at wire for Saez’s 5th on the day paying $13.60 and $7.20.

Meet totals
$208 wagered
$152.60

Day 27
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Duopoly- was well bet in debut and didn’t fire. Showed in her 2nd start why she took all that money as she absolutely romped. Has to contend with her stablemate here but I think she’s very good and we will be seeing her in Stakes next.

Longshot- race 1- #3 Our Destiny- chased a repeat winner last time in open company at Monmouth. Adds blinkers, in with state breds and with an aggressive ride can take these all the way

[moses]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Wild William got a brilliant ride by Luis Saez, sending hard and took them wire to wire paying $11.40 and $4.50. Foolish Ghost broke running, was headed late and came back at wire for Saez’s 5th on the day paying $13.60 and $7.20.

Meet totals
$208 wagered
$152.60

Day 27
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Duopoly- was well bet in debut and didn’t fire. Showed in her 2nd start why she took all that money as she absolutely romped. Has to contend with her stablemate here but I think she’s very good and we will be seeing her in Stakes next.

Longshot- race 1- #3 Our Destiny- chased a repeat winner last time in open company at Monmouth. Adds blinkers, in with state breds and with an aggressive ride can take these all the way

You can't lose right now. Another good call.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Wild William got a brilliant ride by Luis Saez, sending hard and took them wire to wire paying $11.40 and $4.50. Foolish Ghost broke running, was headed late and came back at wire for Saez’s 5th on the day paying $13.60 and $7.20.

Meet totals
$208 wagered
$152.60

Day 27
Best bet- Race 6- #4 Duopoly- was well bet in debut and didn’t fire. Showed in her 2nd start why she took all that money as she absolutely romped. Has to contend with her stablemate here but I think she’s very good and we will be seeing her in Stakes next.

Longshot- race 1- #3 Our Destiny- chased a repeat winner last time in open company at Monmouth. Adds blinkers, in with state breds and with an aggressive ride can take these all the way

Our Destiny got the aggressive ride I hoped for, wiring the first paying $21 and $8.40. Duopoly won impressively again, taking it to them early and late, paying $7.70 and $4.10

Meet totals
$216 wagered
$193.80 returned

Day 28
Best bet- Race 8- #2 Growth Engine- ran well here last summer. Won his prep in fine fashion in Jersey last time and should get plenty of pace to run at.

Longshot- Race 9- #7 Valid Point- it’s worth watching a replay of his last, if for no other reason, watching him have nowhere to go for nearly 3/4’s of the race is really something. I think the fact he shows up here is a very good sign. It’s not like Chad Brown didn’t already hold a strong hand and there were much easier spots he could’ve picked. I won’t pretend to think I can judge workouts, but I watched his workouts since getting to Saratoga and while he is a turf horse, outworked Peter Pan winner Country Grammar on dirt and looks like the rider is having a hard time holding him because he is so full of run. Has more speed than his stablemates early so should get first run and figures to be at least 10-1. Good enough for me.

[gamblin4ever]

I hope you're right on your picks today as I've got them both in my p4.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Dahoss

Our Destiny got the aggressive ride I hoped for, wiring the first paying $21 and $8.40. Duopoly won impressively again, taking it to them early and late, paying $7.70 and $4.10

Meet totals
$216 wagered
$193.80 returned

Day 28
Best bet- Race 8- #2 Growth Engine- ran well here last summer. Won his prep in fine fashion in Jersey last time and should get plenty of pace to run at.

Longshot- Race 9- #7 Valid Point- it’s worth watching a replay of his last, if for no other reason, watching him have nowhere to go for nearly 3/4’s of the race is really something. I think the fact he shows up here is a very good sign. It’s not like Chad Brown didn’t already hold a strong hand and there were much easier spots he could’ve picked. I won’t pretend to think I can judge workouts, but I watched his workouts since getting to Saratoga and while he is a turf horse, outworked Peter Pan winner Country Grammar on dirt and looks like the rider is having a hard time holding him because he is so full of run. Has more speed than his stablemates early so should get first run and figures to be at least 10-1. Good enough for me.

Valid Point struggled, as did all of the Chad Brown horses in the Fourstardave. Growth Engine looked like he would win but struggled the final furlong finishing 3rd

Meet totals
$224 wagered
$193.80 returned

Day 29
Best bet- Race 7th- #3 Free Enterprise- I feel like he could possibly be speed of the speed if he’s sent. Considering some of the mind boggling rides we’ve seen from Castellano this meet that might be wishful thinking but ultimately I think he’s the best horse in the race.

Longshot- Race 8- #1 Call Me Love- she should be 5th choice in here and I think she has a very good shot at winning. I think the others have some question marks. Will Mean Mary be as effective shorter? Is Rushing Fall as effective at 9 furlongs? Is Sistercharlie of the last two back or is she ready to be a mom? Give me the price and the hottest combo at the meet