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  #1  
Old 01-01-2007, 09:00 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I must have overestimated Take the Bluff. I thought he was actually a pretty good horse.
I overestimated him off his off-the-turf win the day before the Belmont ( which is a good reminder to always take off-the-turf races with a grain of salt ) and his form has been decidely mediocre since. He can win Friday the my guess is Admiral's Arch is the likeliest upsetter if Jazil loses.

Betting against Jazil is one of those " I'm a wiseguy " situations. He certainly isn't a great bet in this situation but he can more certainly win. I think a real wiseguy doesn't underestimate him.
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  #2  
Old 01-01-2007, 09:28 PM
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philcski philcski is offline
Goodwood
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I overestimated him off his off-the-turf win the day before the Belmont ( which is a good reminder to always take off-the-turf races with a grain of salt ) and his form has been decidely mediocre since. He can win Friday the my guess is Admiral's Arch is the likeliest upsetter if Jazil loses.

Betting against Jazil is one of those " I'm a wiseguy " situations. He certainly isn't a great bet in this situation but he can more certainly win. I think a real wiseguy doesn't underestimate him.
My morning line is 8/5. I think he's up against it on the inner the way it's been playing but he does have a win over the strip, McLaughlin is certainly quality off the layoff, and the field is pretty weak.

I think the wiseguys might actually UNDERbet him in this situation.
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  #3  
Old 01-05-2007, 08:34 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Would some please post how the little guy does...I hate being at work.
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  #4  
Old 01-05-2007, 08:37 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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He trailed early.
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  #5  
Old 01-05-2007, 08:49 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
He trailed early.
I know you think he totally sucks, but would you be kind enough in humoring me if you see the race?
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  #6  
Old 01-05-2007, 08:52 AM
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Linny Linny is offline
Oaklawn
 
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He will trail early, Throat is right on that one.
Sightseek, are you in the Alb/Sar area? I might be going to AQU a few more times over the winter, let me know if you want to tag along.
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  #7  
Old 01-05-2007, 09:02 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Linny
He will trail early, Throat is right on that one.
Sightseek, are you in the Alb/Sar area? I might be going to AQU a few more times over the winter, let me know if you want to tag along.
Yes and thanks, we're probably not going down until the Wood Memorial though.
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  #8  
Old 01-05-2007, 09:32 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Sightseek
I know you think he totally sucks, but would you be kind enough in humoring me if you see the race?
I don't think he totally sucks, I like him, he just has to run faster to compete with top horses this year. It's certainly possible.
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  #9  
Old 01-05-2007, 09:37 AM
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Sightseek Sightseek is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I don't think he totally sucks, I like him, he just has to run faster to compete with top horses this year. It's certainly possible.
I don't know how much it's worth, but his workouts seem to be quicker this year. Maybe the time off allowed him to develop a bit.
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  #10  
Old 01-05-2007, 08:37 AM
eurobounce
 
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M/L 2/5 is unreal. Looks as the pick 3 is the play
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