9/5 (CD): Derby Trail Probables ~ 11 for Preakness with Swiss

[moses]

For the San Felipe, I see Fort McHenry is now under Doug O’Neill and still vying for the Derby.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Go watch The Sting. You should be embarrassed not knowing the line. You probably would have knew what I was talking about 7 years ago.....when you used to be good. Maybe you will get a second wind this spring and summer. It’s noble work you’re doing.

Respectfully, no one ever knows what you’re talking about. You’re the babbling village idiot that posts dumb sh.it after you’ve smoked too much.

How are you not even entertaining when you’re high? It’s amazing.

Like I’ve told you many times before Dan, my worst day is light years better than your best. Good luck with all of your fake bets this weekend.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Does that mean “place it on Lucky Dan “ would draw a blank too ? I’ve watched The Sting once a year since it was at the movie theatre. Never gets old. They don’t make em like that anymore.

You’re the old fart in OTB talking about how much better everything used to be, right?

So lame...

[Alabama Stakes]

Da Toss

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Da Toss

Says the guy who was so bad picking football that you didn’t even have the balls to track your picks.

Heroic stuff.

[knickslions2]

Some solid discussions about some big races!!

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Some solid discussions about some big races!!

Mr board cop to the rescue!

[moses]

The pace scenario for the derby is looking interesting. Authentic, King Guillermo, Ete Indien, and Mischevious Alex each have won their preps on the front end. And we could still add pace to the mix.

By comparison last year you had Tacitus win the TB Derby and Haikal win the Gotham. There was no San Felipe and War of Will had won the Risen Star.

[moses]

I like Finnick the Fierce going to the Jeff Ruby. I’m guessing he’ll be favored...though Ed DeRosa just listed Invader in his Derby Top 10...

And wow - they may need to split the Louisiana Derby into 4 divisions.

[richard burch]

Given the state of the nation, will they run the derby without fans?

[Kasept]

[Kasept]

2 Tiz the Law (Barclay Tagg) 122
5 King Guillermo (Juan Carlos Avila) 90
6 Ete Indien (Patrick Biancone) 74
7 Modernist (Bill Mott) 70
8 Authentic (Bob Baffert) 60
9 Mr. Monomoy (Brad Cox) 52
10 Basin (Steve Asmussen) 50
11 Mischevious Alex (John Servis) 50
12 Ny Traffic (Saffie Joseph Jr.) 50
13 Shivaree (Ralph Nicks) 40
14 Gouverneur Morris (Todd Pletcher) 34
15 Enforceable (Mark Casse) 33
16 Storm the Court (Peter Eurton) 32
17 Sole Volante (Patrick Biancone) 30
18 Major Fed (Greg Foley) 30
19 Thousand Words (Bob Baffert) 25
20 Finnick the Fierce (Rey Hernandez) 25
21 Silver Prospector (Steve Asmussen) 25

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Heading for home, it’s Wrecking Crew all alone by 6 lengths.

Could today be the day ?

[Kasept]

6/20 (BEL): Belmont Stakes (9f) 150-60-30-15

Tiz the Law (Tagg)
Sole Volante (Biancone)
Basin (Asmussen)
Farmington Road (Pletcher)
Dr. Post (Pletcher)
Max Player (Rice)
Modernist (Mott)
Ny Traffic (Joseph)*
Shivaree (Nicks)*

[King Glorious]

I find it interesting that many people automatically assume that the winner of the SA Derby won’t be able to come back in the Belmont because it’s only two weeks later yet nobody thinks anything of horses from the Kentucky Derby running back in the Preakness two weeks later.

[moses]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I find it interesting that many people automatically assume that the winner of the SA Derby won’t be able to come back in the Belmont because it’s only two weeks later yet nobody thinks anything of horses from the Kentucky Derby running back in the Preakness two weeks later.

Won’t be able to or simply won’t? I don’t see many trainers wanting to ship across the country and run on two weeks rest.

[Dahoss]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I find it interesting that many people automatically assume that the winner of the SA Derby won’t be able to come back in the Belmont because it’s only two weeks later yet nobody thinks anything of horses from the Kentucky Derby running back in the Preakness two weeks later.

Definitely see a bunch of trainers wanting to ship across the country on two weeks rest when most have missed a prep or two.

As always, you’ve got your finger on the pulse of what’s going on.

[richard burch]

This is not a year for a "triple crown" achievement. What was 3 races over 5 weeks is now over 3 + months to complete. While each race has its own reward why you would want to push your horse and just run him when the time is right. I believe it makes the Haskell, SA Derby and others almost equal value to the big 3. A lot can happen between June 6th and September 5th and Oct. 3rd. I think it's a long shot that one horse is winning those 3 races.

[Alabama Stakes]

When life looks like easy street, there is danger at your door . -GD

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by King Glorious

I find it interesting that many people automatically assume that the winner of the SA Derby won’t be able to come back in the Belmont because it’s only two weeks later yet nobody thinks anything of horses from the Kentucky Derby running back in the Preakness two weeks later.

I don't think it's "many people" thinking (or agreeing) with not running back in 2 weeks, but the heavy favorite for the SA Derby is Authentic and Bob Baffert reportedly said that he would not come right back in the Belmont:

The trainer's other prominent 3-year-old, Authentic, will not target the Belmont Stakes as he is booked to run in the Santa Anita Derby on June 6.

The other SA Derby favorite is Honor A.P. trained by John Shirreffs. If the 2 week turnaround isn't enough to dissuade him, certainly the geography (Rocky Mountains in between CA and NY) will...