11/28-12/1 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 1); Sire Future (Only Pool)

moses · #1 11-28-2019, 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

You were both right. Who does he possibly have that can win the Derby?

Ok good. I wasn’t sure if horses like American Phenom and Best Company were being talked about by insiders. Still, with no identifiable contender for the Derby, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him get a lot of money bet on him.

senator L · #2 11-29-2019, 03:09 PM

Bet unavailable up here in the Great White North

I would have taken #18 Speightstown who is going to be
good value. Most won't take him because of the distance, but he does
have a couple who are runners. Halo Again is 2 for 2 won at CD then
won a stakes at Woodbine going two turns 1 1/8 good connections too...
so a mythical $100 for me.

moses · #3 11-29-2019, 07:00 PM

I’ve really only got 3 horses I’m interested in betting on.

Green Light Go - If he grows into his frame, he could be a seriously dangerous horse. Early speed, hasn’t taken lasix yet (not sure if any plans to start him on it), and nice pedigree especially on the dam side. Looking for 50-1 or higher.

Independence Hall - If Tiz the Law wins the Kentucky Jockey Club then maybe we’ll see a bunch of money on him and it’ll create some value for Independence Hall. Looking for 18-1 or higher.

Structor - This is more of a wildcard but if I can get 40-1 or higher on him, I’ll place a wager. I don’t think that happens so I probably won’t make the wager.

blackthroatedwind · #4 11-29-2019, 07:29 PM

Green Light Go is interesting. There is also an argument that the rail wasn't a great place to be on Champagne day, so that effort may be much better than it appears.

philcski · #5 11-30-2019, 01:58 AM

Seeing Green Light Go at 75-1 at William Hill. Much shorter than that overseas, strangely. Will get some of that when I'm in Vegas next.

southerndutch · #6 11-30-2019, 10:16 AM

What casinos in Vegas are still taking Derby futures?

moses · #7 11-30-2019, 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski

Seeing Green Light Go at 75-1 at William Hill. Much shorter than that overseas, strangely. Will get some of that when I'm in Vegas next.

Geeze. He’s dropped to 40-1 in this pool. And Tiz the Law down to 8-1. I’m guessing most people wait until tomorrow to bet so we’ll see how it all plays out.