A Question concerning Belmont ROI

[JolyB]

I know what you mean, Don Guido. But, I tried to keep this play within our $200 ROI limit just to see how it would work. I'm not entirely comfortable that I have enough coverage to have a good level of confidence. On the other hand, I went 5 deep in the Woody Stephens, and am sure that there are many good handicappers who would be looking at Mind Control as a single. If Mind Control does win, it would dramatically reduce the overall payoff and make me feel very foolish for including such coverage. The multi leg wagers are challenges, but they sure can cause you to second guess yourself.

And all of this is without knowing what the scratches are going to be.

[JolyB]

In the Gold Cup, the second leg of the sequence, #3 Amade came from off of the pace (they went the first mile in 1:43.66, so I use the term pace loosely) to outkick #6 Arklow for the win. Neither Cal nor I had him on our tickets, so all of that effort is in the shredder. That's one of the reasons that I don't invest $$ in pick 6 sequences, except perhaps on mandatory payout days.

Cal, sorry it didn't work out for you either. I appreciate your gameness in putting up a ticket with me. It provided a very interesting comparison. I wouldn't be surprised if you told me that the winner was the last horse that you decided to exclude from your sequence. That was certainly my case.

I thought that things were going to go well when Do Share was a late scratch in the True North, and then Catalina Cruiser won as the PTF, so I had two live wagers going, not just one. But that didn't last very long.

Onward.

[cal828]

I probably will miss other legs of the thing too, but I think that 2nd leg was the one that I had the least confidence in. Can be fun to play, but so hard to hit a pick 6, I hardly ever play one for real.