A Question concerning Belmont ROI

[ElPrado]

We like Pete. Let's not have him suicidal. 😫

[JolyB]

You both make excellent points. I'm not wedded to the idea, just wanted to see if there was any interest within our group.

Besides, I think there is a very appealing Grand Slam available on Saturday consisting of all Grade 1 races.

[RUFFIAN]

TIZ WAY OVER THIS CAT HEAD

I SHALL PURRRRCEED WITH MY USUAL WIN BETS

[Real Quiet]

If I had to break down 972 combinations including scratches I think El Prado would have to send me all the coffee in Columbia.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by Real Quiet

If I had to break down 972 combinations including scratches I think El Prado would have to send me all the coffee in Columbia.

Well, there wouldn't be 972 individual tickets, probably only 1 or 2. Kind of like scoring a pick 4, only with 2 more legs. However, your point about scratches is very well taken, since you don't know when you make the bet on Friday which horses on the Saturday segments will be scratched. There could be many more scratches than usual, and they require the scorer to figure out who was the PTF. That can be a genuine nuisance for the scorer.

All in all, there seem to be a number of good reasons not to include this wager in our menu. Thanks for the reactions.

[Real Quiet]

If you do it for fun or profit please post your picks here just to see how it could turn out.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by Real Quiet

If you do it for fun or profit please post your picks here just to see how it could turn out.

OK Pete, I'll keep that in mind. I need to do some serious 'capping before deciding whether to plunk some $$ down on an ADW account, but it could be a useful exercise just to put a ticket (or two) together. I know that I'll have some difficulty with the Gold Cup, because I have a strong rooting interest in Red Knight, but think that he will be facing a severe class test no matter how much he may love the distance.

[JolyB]

Originally Posted by Real Quiet

If you do it for fun or profit please post your picks here just to see how it could turn out.

OK, RQ - you talked me into it - as you can see, it didn't take very much persuasion. This is definitely NOT my ROI, and I'm probably not going to play it for profit since I'm concerned that there are a couple of other viable contenders I couldn't include. The more I looked at the True North and the Woody Stephens, the tougher they appeared. But, within the constraints of a $200 bankroll, here are my A and B tickets. We'll see how it works out. Very dependent on Bricks and Mortar in the Manhattan. I think he merits it.

Ticket #1: 3,7,8 // 4,6,8,9 // 1,2,4,8,9 // 1,2,3,4,7 // 8 // 9,10 = $120
Ticket #2: 3,7,8 // 4,6,8,9 // 1,2,4,9 // 2,3,4,7 // 10 // 9,10 = $76.80

Totals: $120 + $76.80 = $196.80