Found your Derby horse yet?

[JolyB]

Don't yet know whom my head will be telling me to bet, but I'm sure that my heart will be pushing me to root for a Bill Mott horse to win. It would be such a pleasure to see a person of his overall quality in the winner's circle.

Of the two, I don't think that Country House will be the one to take him there. While CH is a nice horse with a good closing run and ought to be able to compete at the distance, he could get left far behind early and will be passing a number of very tired horses in the stretch, but might have too much to do to catch the winner. An in the super finish is the absolute best that I could predict for him.

Tacitus on the other hand, has a number of positive qualities that give him a realistic chance. In the Wood he was bounced around early, overcame a lot of difficulty and still was game in his duel to the wire with Tax. The price on Tacitus should be realistic. The Baffert horses and Omaha Beach will all take a lot of money, and Tacitus may end up as 4th or 5th choice, even though I think that he belongs in the top three.