4/12-14 (OP): AR Derby, Apple Blossom (G1's) ~ Racing Festival

[moses]

With the ML for Improbable set at 8-5 and Omaha Beach set at 2-1, might be some nice value if you like a horse other than those two.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by moses

With the ML for Improbable set at 8-5 and Omaha Beach set at 2-1, might be some nice value if you like a horse other than those two.

Why, you think those two are underlays?

[moses]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Why, you think those two are underlays?

At those odds, no. But there is a lot of hype around Improbable and Omaha Beach...so...I’m imagining a situation where people get wrapped up in those two, we see them at even money and something-to-5, and maybe the odds on another horse like Long Range Toddy or Country House rise enough where it’s worth it to take a chance on them.

On top of that, both favorites like to be close to the pace, and it seems like it might be crowded up front or perhaps they stalk well but get boxed in on the rail a bit. So I could see the race setting up for a horse other than those two.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Why, you think those two are underlays?

Well what odds do you have LRT at if those hold up?

[cakes44]

Not much talk about the Apple Blossom. Wow what a race!

[Kasept]

SUNDAY

[herkhorse]

Chris and Dave in the handicap. 20-1 ml, should handle the slop.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by herkhorse

Chris and Dave in the handicap. 20-1 ml, should handle the slop.

That whole field seems like it can handle the slop.
Is is going to be sloppy?

[Alabama Stakes]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Not much talk about the Apple Blossom. Wow what a race!

Remember Zenyatta winning the Apple Blossom when Rachel didn't show?

[RHT2004]

I'm using 1 2 4 8

[RHT2004]

Hoping Mitole jogs today. I think he can win the Met Mile.