1/19 ATR 'Game Builder' ~ NTamm on P3's (TAM 7-9)

[ScottJ]

Let's look at this ticket structure considering just the opening leg. The only horse that was tossed was War Bride, 30-1 on the morning line. After scratches, the tickets will cover, at varying levels, all of the other four horses still to run.

So, if you think that ~4% of the total pool will include War Bride (30-1) in the opening leg, doesn't this mean that the tickets are creating a significanty more negative return than just the takeout? (Translation : You are playing to cover 96% of the remaining pool with a 15-20% takeout. Shouldn't you try to eliminate at least 15-20% of the opening leg's pool money in your "X" selections?)