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Old 07-28-2018, 11:02 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 19,806
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Quote:
Originally Posted by moses View Post
Haha. Good point there. That’s generally my approach. Singling Hofburg in a horizontal bet was a much better play than trying to bet him heavy to win. Just one of those things that crosses my mind...and then gets dismissed as a stupid idea. I have a lot of stupid ideas pop into my head. But I’d never actually make a wager like that.

Maybe this is a simple way to look at it but a $10 DD of Hofburg with the 1 & 11 (the two co-favorites in Race 10 yesterday) would have cost $20 but paid $61.00. Would have had to wager $164 on Hofburg to win to win $41.00.
That is the way to play it. In a full field at a big meet like Saratoga often times the Exacta offers value. You just don't want to use too many horses underneath. Too many folks use too many horses so they need to maintain a high win percentage. You can make money winning 5-10% of the time provided you aren't playing chalk chalk. You just need the stomach for it. I find cursing and ranting and raving helps
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