TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles - Page 7

RHT2004 · #**121** 05-13-2018, 09:57 PM

Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Alabama Stakes · #**122** 05-13-2018, 11:43 PM

On a fast track he will whistle. No Justify in the Met Mile. Didn't like the mud.

raininthrees · #**123** 05-14-2018, 12:49 AM

I’ve secured a NO triple crown position at the price of -180.
has anybody else made a futures investment to date?

Mike · #**124** 05-14-2018, 06:33 PM

I think Diamond King underneath in the trifecta is the best value. Justify/ Good Magic, Quip and Diamond King or delete Quip from the tri and key Justify over Diamond King and Good Magic

cakes44 · #**125** 05-14-2018, 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Possibly, but I love that they are thinking outside the box. There have been 3-year-olds fairly recently that would have fit just fine in the MM and have no business at the 1 3/16 or 1 1/2 of the Preakness or Belmont. Pretty sure Practical Joke was in good enough form to finish 3rd last year. And Army Mule and Backyard Heaven are fast and fast risers, but not exactly known commodities.

RHT2004 · #**126** 05-14-2018, 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44

Possibly, but I love that they are thinking outside the box. There have been 3-year-olds fairly recently that would have fit just fine in the MM and have no business at the 1 3/16 or 1 1/2 of the Preakness or Belmont. Pretty sure Practical Joke was in good enough form to finish 3rd last year. And Army Mule and Backyard Heaven are fast and fast risers, but not exactly known commodities.

I don't dislike the placement. Just think it will prove to ambitious.

blackthroatedwind · #**127** 05-14-2018, 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Army Mule might be the biggest "if" in the history of horse racing. Has he worked since the Carter?

I think it's the right move for Bolt D'Oro.

RHT2004 · #**128** 05-15-2018, 06:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Army Mule might be the biggest "if" in the history of horse racing. Has he worked since the Carter?

I think it's the right move for Bolt D'Oro.

Army Mule is half god, half horse.

RHT2004 · #**129** 05-15-2018, 06:45 AM

I do hope he runs. He has a big following and i feel he would be way overbet. Especially if Justify is going for the triple crown and you see that recent 2nd in the pps. I would be totally against him if the expected players show up.

Hickory Hill Hoff · #**130** 05-15-2018, 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Army Mule is half god, half horse.

pweizer · #**131** 05-15-2018, 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Army Mule is half god, half horse.

And now officially out of the Met Mile.

Paul

moses · #**132** 05-16-2018, 11:02 PM

I’ve watched the derby several times now and I’ve been focusing on Bravazo vs. Lone Sailor. If anyone sees it differently, please correct me — but Lone Sailor got to ride the rail the bulk of the race and Bravazo was out side the bulk of the race, including getting bumped early and possibly having to pull up on the horse to swing outside in the early going.

Despite a clearer path, Lone Sailor still finished a length behind Bravazo. So it seems like Bravazo might actually be a decent bet to pull off an Oxbow-like performance. Maybe he doesn’t win it but he’s almost sure to get an easier trip than what he faced in the Derby.

I’m thinking it may be a necessity to use Bravazo heavily in exotic wagers. His number will be high but his derby performance was better than what the finish indicates.

Alabama Stakes · #**133** 05-17-2018, 12:54 AM

Moses, I thought that lone sailor had no place to go for much of the race . He had to fight through openings to pass those he passed. I was more impressed with his run.

moses · #**134** 05-17-2018, 07:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Moses, I thought that lone sailor had no place to go for much of the race . He had to fight through openings to pass those he passed. I was more impressed with his run.

Thanks. I’ve been back and forth on these two for a week now. I’ll watch it a few more times. It seems to me that Lone Sailor didn’t accelerate well when he finally did have an opening so it’s got me wondering if he had nowhere to go or if he just doesn’t have a strong move in him. My initial thought was that he was blocked in, but like I said, I’ve been back and forth.