Convince me on Justify...

[moses]

Originally Posted by Secretriat34

Bolt shut it down 50 yards out to save stamina in the SA derby..no whip..Justified gained a length. In the running line, Bolt Ran with justify to get the colt a chance to look into Justify's eyes...then he faded back to save stamina for 144. In kentucky, Bolt won't be held back.

Big storms here in Chicago last night, so the satellite Tv was not 100%, which gave me time to read the paper guides etc, that I have been previewing for some time.
The magnificent 7…you guide has them box A and Box B.
I doubt the exacta will be outside these 7.
Getting to my picks.
I like BOLT to be ITM…no doubt.
His runs with Mckenzie are going to be legendary as time goes by.
Bolt is the west coast pick
Vinno has the curlin sire and the streetcry damsire…wow
Vinno has a better final time at 9f than MAGIC and has a better beyer string than MAGIC.
MAGIC however is following his juvy season as far as beyer progression, and his third back …just like his third race at 2 in the BCJ will be a new top for him speed figure wise…the derby will be a big race for him.
I have warmed up to Vinno, and looking at audibles pedigree..wonder if all10 migh tbe too far.
10f is a specialty distance, and many fade 100 yards out..perhaps Audible will

I just can’t get past the way BOLT motors and his fierce competitiveness.
Ruiz a small operation..this may put his name on the map so to speak.
I guess in my heart ( which is a stupid way to bet) BOLT is my pick.
I urge you to revisit Mendy’s analysis..a $3,000,000 Sale topper of yearlings..but this is the KICKER.
He is half brother to BEHOLDER…from the same damn..the damn was the dam of the year 2016.
Beholder defeated the horses ay 10f in the Pac Classic. So he may be a scat daddy, but he has the distance from mama..and the speed of scat.
BOLT…itm…MY MONEY GOES WITH HIM LIVE OR DIE
VINNO
MAGIC
MENDY
JUSTIFY ..MOON..AUDIBLE…
THE EXACTA IS IN THIS GROUP

I think you may be right. I’m throwing out Mendy and tempted to have a lot of bets without Justify because I’m not sure I’ll like his price. I’m stuck between Vinno and Audible. I don’t think both will be there. Which is the better horse of those 2? I’m leaning Audible but feel like I may regret excluding Vinno.

[Secretriat34]

red vine seems to have a longer pedigree, the issue with Audible is 10f.

Bolt, Magic, Justify...all 1 step apart
its three, three, three, colts in one.

i can't pick one over the other..


fact is MAGIC, the champ. has done nothing wrong, he ran his 2 before the derby, and is all set for his third back derby plunge.

Bolt had back problems and did not win his last 2,, DQ win in SA, and a loss to Justify. he sure pissed off Bob with his DQ in the san felipe, so much so Bob shows up with plan B , his summer project Justify

Justify has no foundation, can his talent trump his inexperience , with no dirt ever up his nose, will he win given the competition here ?

good thing Mckenzie is on the drug rehab program or he would take mo money..
typin bout Mckenzie...how bout some out of competition drug testing to be certain his run in the travers is all oats and molasses.
not to imply for one moment bob sent mac to the farm to roid him up for summer...that would be as ludicrous statement.

i don't know if the west coast will produce the winner...ITM for sure

you got Mendy, a champion in the USA, setting track time records winning by 1/2 a furlong, undefeated Moon, and the GP series went to Audible.

this is a tough exacta

who do you like in the top 2