10/14: Keeneland (5th-10th); Belmont (7th-10th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (.50 P6, P3, DD, .50 Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Space Mountain 5-1 WON ($10.60)
Next Best: #1 Morocco 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Mambo At the Gym 8-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Hollow Point 3-1 10th


6th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Royal Creed 3-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Kilroy Was Here 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #11 Loup 20-1 8th
Exotics Use: #3 Lighthawk 8-1 9th
Super Add/Hi-5 Play: #10 Sargeant Drive 12-1 7th


7th: ALW/N3X, 3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

I'm not a huge jock switch angle player, but it is glaring that Leparoux engages on 'first North America' The Bull for Brian Lynch (listed owner) when he's been the regular rider on BOTH solid Airoforce and emerging Parlor. The Bull comes from Gai Waterhouse off the B circuit in Australia and imagine we'll know how live he is based on the tote action..

Most Likely: #4 Bondurant 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 The Bull 15-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Parlor 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Airoforce 6-1 Late SCR


8th: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

HUGE shakeup of this with SCR's of 3+ speed types. #14 Minnie Blip draws in..

Best Value: #5 Perfect Wife 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Too Much Tip 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Cara Blythe 8-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Aunt Jenn 4-1 WON ($8.80)


9th: 34th Queen Elizabeth II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Hi-5)

What a great field. Pace is murky and leave it to Castellano to gain advantageous position with New Money Honey as a result. Beau Recall (12-1) and Daddy's Little Darling are fun price considers with former best at this distance and latter confirming McPeek's touting of her in DMR trip. Proctor's Ledge broke through at Saratoga with the 2 Lake (Placid/George) wins. The 2 Casse's can play a role here. Ward brings Smith in to ride 3 today including Ascot winner Con Te Partiro (30-1!)..

Most Likely: #11 New Money Honey 4-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Uni 9-2 4th
Best Value: #3 Daddy's Little Darling 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Proctor's Ledge 9-2 8th


10th: MSW, 3+, 7f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #1 Such a Tease 9-2 6th
Next Best: #5 Bee Jersey 7-2 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #8 Powerful Ally 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Belgrano 10-1 11th


P5 Grid:

6: 7-8 (A), 3-10-11 (B), 4-9 (C)
7: 4-11 (A), - (B), 2-5-7-9 (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), 7-14 (C)
9: 10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-3-9 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), - (B), 6-8-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x4x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

7: 4-11 (A), 9 (B), 2-5-7 (C)
8: 5-9 (A), 1-4 (B), 7-14 (C)
9: 3-10-11 (A), - (B), 1-2-9 (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 8-12 (B), 2-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)



BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Very competitive set of turf sprinters and jock who gets aggressive will likely be rewarded..

Most Likely: #11 End Play 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #2 Daddy D T 6-1 10th
Next Best: #6 Grand Sky 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Spring to the Sky 8-1 2nd


8th: 127th Futurity (G3), 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

With blinkers going on Happy Like a Fool SCR'D and Barry Lee, feels like this pace will get hot. Engage should benefit from that with proven ability to sit behind..

Most Likely: #6 Engage 2-1 WON ($3.10)
Best Value: #1 Red Peril 12-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Mojovation 3-1 3rd


9th: 25th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD)

Considering the G1 for same class at KEE, this produced a heckuva nice group. Party Boat has fit with those QEII fillies all summer and figures prominant here with Rubilinda. Dynatail, who beat Party Boat and Adorable Miss in the Penn Oaks, looks to be circling back to her good races..

Most Likely: #2 Rubilinda 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Next Best: #3 Thais 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #8 Dynatail 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Party Boat 5-1 2nd


10th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT

Stretchouts, class relief and a Donk year-plus returnee make this tricky..

Best Value: #5 Warm Springs 10-1 WON ($9.30)
Next Best: #9 River of Dreams 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Cosmic Thunder 8-1 9th
Super Add: #8 Super Hawk 10-1 7th


P4 Grid:

7: 2-11 (A), 5-6 (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 2-3 (A), 8 (B), 1-4-7 (C)
10: 5-9 (A), 3-8 (B), 1-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/2,6/2/4,5,11,12,13,14,15,16) Paid $118.75 (C-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

[RHT2004]

I know the 9th at Keeneland feels wide open, but like you im all 7,11. I think they dominate the race on the front end.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

I know the 9th at Keeneland feels wide open, but like you im all 7,11. I think they dominate the race on the front end.

Agreed, but now looks like Wuheida is officially out.. Had been suggested but hadn't seen anything definitive.

[Alabama Stakes]

Interesting that Castellano takes the poorly posted 11 over the Moseley, who should continue her winning ways.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes

Interesting that Castellano takes the poorly posted 11 over the Mosely, who should continue her winning ways.

??

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

??

Proctor's Ledge. Mrs. Moseley's homebred.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Proctor's Ledge. Mrs. Moseley's homebred.

Thanks. Not a huge fan, but obviously she can win.

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S