In 2007 I will be a better capper by:

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I may be over extending what he is trying to say, or maybe he is saying it badly, but in theory there are horses one actually should bet as their second or even third choice at 8-1 over horses that may be their top choice at 3-2. Certainly one should ALWAYS pay attention to the tote board, and be looking at exacta probables, and at least attempting to find what they perceive as their best value. Look, most people's understanding of what the actual chances of each horse winning is poor, and the tote board is overall the likeliest best indicator of this, but any horse player should have a reasonable idea of what odds he or she is willing to take on any horse and thus play accordingly. If one does not like the odds on their selection there is an alternative other than taking a flyer on another horse....you can always sit that race out.

The odds board is a horseplayer's friend....not his or her enemy.

Yea, I think that's what the original post meant, and that's how I took it when I added it to the tail end of my post. That I need to stay disciplined at ALL times and not take a flyer on a horse that is not our first choice just because we don't like 3-2 on the horse we DO like.

That if we like that 3-2 horse, and aren't satisfied with the price for the win -- to start looking for creative ways to key that horse on top of exotics that will maximize the investment instead of just tossing that horse and taking another.

I think we're all on the same page, just saying it in different ways.