7/23-24 (SAR): CCA Oaks (G1); Caress

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by cakes44

That middle-move was completely unnecessary and should have lost him the race.

Thats fair. But i think Elate improved today. Taking a non biased view who should love the 10f of the Alabama? Feels like Elate to me.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Thats fair. But i think Elate improved today. Taking a non biased view who should love the 10f of the Alabama? Feels like Elate to me.

No doubt Elate improved. She ran big.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by cakes44

No doubt Elate improved. She ran big.

I guess, I feel like she had the dream trip while the 2 and 7 did not. If she is like 3/1 the Alabama could be a big underlay.

Wonder if Baffert thinks about skipping the Alabama...running in it actually only hurts the horses chances at winning the division. Right now she has a 1/16 of a pole lead.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

I guess, I feel like she had the dream trip while the 2 and 7 did not. If she is like 3/1 the Alabama could be a big underlay.

Wonder if Baffert thinks about skipping the Alabama...running in it actually only hurts the horses chances at winning the division. Right now she has a 1/16 of a pole lead.

l guess im being subjective assuming Elate will love the 10f. I cant see her at 3-1 though. Salty is a massive trip trap horse. AT is probably coming even though the point of her skipping makes sense. Lockdown and Unchained Melody are also pointing to it.

[10 pnt move up]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

l guess im being subjective assuming Elate will love the 10f. I cant see her at 3-1 though. Salty is a massive trip trap horse. AT is probably coming even though the point of her skipping makes sense. Lockdown and Unchained Melody are also pointing to it.

Kinda thought it was an aggressive move for Baffert sending her to this spot so quickly after a big race in May, a big race in June, think he has some other plans. probably a break, the race at Parx and then the BC.

Abel Tasman was due to fly back to California on Monday. Baffert said if Abel Tasman is doing well in a month’s time, he would consider shipping her back for the Alabama. But he noted that Abel Tasman has already shipped three times this year from her California base.

“If she’s doing really well, I’ll do it,” Baffert said.

[parsixfarms]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

l guess im being subjective assuming Elate will love the 10f. I cant see her at 3-1 though. Salty is a massive trip trap horse. AT is probably coming even though the point of her skipping makes sense. Lockdown and Unchained Melody are also pointing to it.

I realize that Unchained Melody ran well in the Mother Goose, but isn't Holy Helena the likely favorite for the Alabama if Abel Tasman doesn't come back for the race (and might be the horse to beat even if she does come)?

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by parsixfarms

I realize that Unchained Melody ran well in the Mother Goose, but isn't Holy Helena the likely favorite for the Alabama if Abel Tasman doesn't come back for the race (and might be the horse to beat even if she does come)?

Yup. Forgot her. Shes a major player for Jerkens. Ill say it now, regardless of who shows up ill take both Mott fillies. I have always been a fan of both and think they are both progressing well.