Live Derby Odds

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by tjfla

I like feel good stories but how is Patch 13/1??

We need 2 or 3 feel good story horses in each Derby. Public bets on the story and we get better odds on horses who can actually hit the board

Does the public bet this early on hunch bets? And do they make $980,000 of feel-good bets?! (as of 4:30ish). I'm surprised that so many people would even know that Patch is blind in one eye, before they hear it during the Derby broadcast.

With a 3-race resume', we don't really know how good Patch is yet. Someone must think he's pretty good.

[10 pnt move up]

Derby is always won by the chalk...damn points system

[richard burch]

I think it is nice when won by the best horse with the best trainer.

[richard burch]

as stated earlier:

the horse who is the fastest belongs to Todd

here are the times of the recent 1-1/8 th mile stakes winners.

1:50.91
1:51.16
1:49.77
1:47.47
1:50.39
1:48.93

The one that says 1:47.47 belongs to Todd.

This is Todd's year.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up

Derby is always won by the chalk...damn points system

To your point
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features...g-predictable/