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Old 03-12-2017, 01:24 PM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,686
Default 11/12: Santa Anita ($189k C/O)

SANTA ANITA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Included this to remind all that Baffert's West Coast returns today off debut where only stablemate Bronze Age topped him. Race has been the fastest 1m event of the meet and Flatter colt has trained forwardly out of the debut. Hollendorfer's Honor and Courage is pretty nice, but looks like a win-shy type..

Most Likely: #5 West Coast 1-2 WON ($2.10)
Next Best: #2 Honor and Courage SCR


4th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

$189k C/O starts here..

With Lifeline SCR'd, a very competitive start to sequence..

Best Value: #11 Farley 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Glacier 7-2 WON ($6.40)
Exotics Use: #9 Fortune of War 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #2 Calle Kingpin 3-1 9th


5th: Cal-MCLM/$50k, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Bobbie Lincoln 5-1 WON ($9.80)
Next Best: #6 Harbored Affair 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Crimsoned N Clover 4-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Jill Madden 2-1 2nd


6th: MCLM/$20k, 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Desert General 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Best Value: #5 Jackson Teller 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Johann's Command 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Stormin Cowboy 12-1 8th


7th: 50th Santa Ana (G2), F&M-4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 GOODYEARFORROSES 5-2 WON ($4.00)
Next Best: #5 Sweet Charity 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #1 Pretty Girl 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Kenriya 4-1 8th


8th: S/HCP, 4+, 5.5f (DD)

Very tough Starter to decipher with zippy NorCal invader leading them along under Prat. If he falters, who knows?

Most Likely: #9 Percy's Bluff 5-2 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #12 Louden's Gray 12-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Success Rate 10-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Finallygotabentley 10-1 8th


9th: OC/N1X, 4+, 10f-T (Hi-5)

Wild finish to fun sequence. Many viable price possibilities going 10f on the grass..

Best Value: #1 Burnaroundtheedges 15-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Mission Driven 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Oscar Dominguez 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Beach View 4-1 WON ($9.20)
Hi-5 Play: #8 Temple Keys 7-2 4th


P6 Grid:

4: 11 (A), 8-9 (B), 2-4 (C)
5: 6-8 (A), 1-5 (B), 3-4 (C)
6: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
7: 3 (A), - (B), 5 (C)
8: 9-12 (A), 1 (B), 7-10 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), - (B), 3-8-10 (C)

A+B: 3x4x3x1x3x2 = 216 x $2 = $432
A's: 1x2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x $2 = $48

$2 Pick-6 (8,12,13,14/8/9/3/4,5,9/3,9,14) Paid $24.60 x 2 = $51.20 (5OF6)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5-9 (A), 3-8 (B), 6-10 (C)
7: 3 (A), 5 (B), 1-6-7 (C)
8: 9-12 (A), 1-7 (B), 2-10 (C)
9: 1-6 (A), 3-8-10 (B), 2-4-7 (C)

A+B: 5x2x4x5 = 200 x .50 = $100
A's: 3x1x2x2 = $12 ($6 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (9/3/4,5,9/3,9,14) Paid $58.45


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 03-12-2017 at 07:19 PM.
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