Royal Delta 2.0

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin

The problem for most people is that they are not good judges as to what extent a horse was geared down.

The more likely scenario is that people only look at the running line in the DRF and don't bother to watch the actual race replay.

And perhaps a more useful angle with regards to "geared down" horses are the runner-ups, who might look strong on paper despite getting brow beat and thus are overbet next out.

The extreme case is Dortmund in last year's Awesome Again. Absolutely humiliated in that race, yet the running line looked almost as solid as his San Diego effort and he was sent off at odds-on in the BC Dirt Mile.