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  #1  
Old 01-24-2017, 09:30 AM
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knickslions2 knickslions2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 View Post
Haven't needed an excuse for Arrogate yet and its highly unlikely I ever will. I was on him well before the Travers. Its not like he ran huge and I started to like him. I don't get you. On twitter you talk about Arrogate could be an all time great and you say things very similar to what I have said here multiple times about if Chrome couldn't beat him in the Classic w/ that setup he never will. Yet now your making excuses for the horse before the race.
When Chrome lost the Belmont didn't people say he didn't like being inside of horses. He ran better free and outside?
Joey you are missing the point here. The 12th hole is brutal at this distance at Gulfstream. Something like 1 for 18 all time since they adjusted the track. Arrogate would have trouble there too.
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  #2  
Old 01-24-2017, 10:21 AM
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3kings 3kings is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Joey you are missing the point here. The 12th hole is brutal at this distance at Gulfstream. Something like 1 for 18 all time since they adjusted the track. Arrogate would have trouble there too.
He's not missing the point, he knows that Big Brown was the lone winner from the 12 post. He was touting a horse trained by Baffert early(not unusual) and he was right so he will post about it in every thread regardless of topic. This will continue until the horse retires or he is right on another Baffert horse.

Racing is the big loser here as a great match up was compromised by a poor draw. It would have been nice to see this race with both horses drawn somewhere in the middle.
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  #3  
Old 01-24-2017, 10:28 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Originally Posted by 3kings View Post
He's not missing the point, he knows that Big Brown was the lone winner from the 12 post. He was touting a horse trained by Baffert early(not unusual) and he was right so he will post about it in every thread regardless of topic. This will continue until the horse retires or he is right on another Baffert horse.

Racing is the big loser here as a great match up was compromised by a poor draw. It would have been nice to see this race with both horses drawn somewhere in the middle.
Well said, Tom
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  #4  
Old 01-24-2017, 10:40 AM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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In the last 2 years they ran this distance on the dirt 12 times. Ten of those races had 7 or More entries. These are the winning post positions

Code:
PP-Wins
3 -  6
5 -  3
6 -  1
7 -  2
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  #5  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:11 AM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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So in other words the 1 thru 4 posts won half the races, and 5-6-7 won the other half ? Cal Chrome has push button speed and is posted outside. He will be wherever he wants and Espinosa will make sure he gets a good run.
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  #6  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:13 AM
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
So in other words the 1 thru 4 posts won half the races, and 5-6-7 won the other half ? Cal Chrome has push button speed and is posted outside. He will be wherever he wants and Espinosa will make sure he gets a good run.
No.. Post 3 won half and 5-6-7 the other. Posts 1-2 won as many as post 12
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  #7  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:14 AM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
So in other words the 1 thru 4 posts won half the races, and 5-6-7 won the other half ? Cal Chrome has push button speed and is posted outside. He will be wherever he wants and Espinosa will make sure he gets a good run.
That button must have gotten stuck in the stretch of the Bc Classic.
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  #8  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:32 AM
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Pants II Pants II is offline
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I'm boycotting Gulfstream the rest of the meet.

Hope Perry and Co. scratch.
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  #9  
Old 01-24-2017, 01:15 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MaTH716 View Post
That button must have gotten stuck in the stretch of the Bc Classic.
Push button speed does not mean when you are in the stretch drive when you are asking for a hoss' best run. but then, you already knew that, right ? You figured you'd take the potshot anyway. You'd fit in with the Giants secondary
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  #10  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:24 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
So in other words the 1 thru 4 posts won half the races, and 5-6-7 won the other half ? Cal Chrome has push button speed and is posted outside. He will be wherever he wants and Espinosa will make sure he gets a good run.
However you choose to fantasize his trip, it's undeniable that he will have to travel 10-15 lengths further, minimum, than Arrogate will have to in the end.

If he pulls it off, he's cements his legacy as a horse of a lifetime; if he doesn't, it proves nothing.

That's the disappointing part. It will always be considered an asterisk on Arrogate's resume more than it will be a career-defining win.
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  #11  
Old 01-24-2017, 11:33 AM
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MaTH716 MaTH716 is offline
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Chrome had it all his way in the BC, while Arrogate was the one who broke from outside, ended up rating and then nailing him at the wire. I just don't see Chrome getting a better trip than he did at Santa Anita. I do think Arrogate is a monster, that being said I don't remember him ever in a position where he had to take a lot of dirt. Even in the BC, Smith kept him clear and wide. Who knows how he could react to somehow getting pinned inside.
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  #12  
Old 01-24-2017, 12:03 PM
ScottJ ScottJ is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
If he pulls it off, he's cements his legacy as a horse of a lifetime; if he doesn't, it proves nothing.

That's the disappointing part. It will always be considered an asterisk on Arrogate's resume more than it will be a career-defining win.
We've talked about how the draw will impact California Chrome, but I have also been thinking about Arrogate's draw.

I would doubt that Arrogate will drive out from the rail to challenge the front and it seems that there will be at least three or four who will push early to hang out Chrome. This puts Arrogate probably fourth or fifth early along the rail perhaps up to five lengths from the front with plenty of traffic. Somehow, he'll need to navigate off the rail and find a clear run to set up a move by the far turn, certainly not a given.

Looking at this race, I have pretty much talked myself off of both Arrogate and Chrome.
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  #13  
Old 01-28-2017, 01:40 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
In the last 2 years they ran this distance on the dirt 12 times. Ten of those races had 7 or More entries. These are the winning post positions

Code:
PP-Wins
3 -  6
5 -  3
6 -  1
7 -  2
7 - 13
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  #14  
Old 01-28-2017, 06:12 PM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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I'm guessing today's loss will clinch HOY for 2017 for.......California Chrome.
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020)
Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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  #15  
Old 01-28-2017, 07:41 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Not sure I could give Shaman Ghost more then a 105 off the layoff etc
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