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  #1  
Old 12-05-2016, 01:37 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up View Post
The fact you believe your opinion validated by a horse losing a head bob, to Beholder no less, is no shock to anyone.
Look Stellar Wind didnt fire had trouble or whatever and Songbird is suppose to draw off given the pace she didnt. Beholder ran a much better race not sure how many additional feet Beholder ran but it was at least 3 lengths. Songbird ran well but given the race dynamics I dont believe she ran to her rep
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  #2  
Old 12-05-2016, 10:17 PM
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taxicab taxicab is offline
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She's looking like a major player now.
The Grade 1 Santa Margarita in March @ Santa Anita is probably on her agenda.
I wonder when she meets up with Songbird......
Apple Blossom perhaps ?

https://youtu.be/PNGh2kBN5wo
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  #3  
Old 12-06-2016, 09:31 AM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Look Stellar Wind didnt fire had trouble or whatever and Songbird is suppose to draw off given the pace she didnt. Beholder ran a much better race not sure how many additional feet Beholder ran but it was at least 3 lengths. Songbird ran well but given the race dynamics I dont believe she ran to her rep
What REP?

Almost all the twitter head racing people where saying she was way to slow to compete in that race.
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  #4  
Old 12-06-2016, 09:32 AM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Look Stellar Wind didnt fire had trouble or whatever and Songbird is suppose to draw off given the pace she didnt. Beholder ran a much better race not sure how many additional feet Beholder ran but it was at least 3 lengths. Songbird ran well but given the race dynamics I dont believe she ran to her rep
and this 3 length bull...same trip that Arrogate had against Chrome. That first turn cost her nothing.
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  #5  
Old 12-06-2016, 12:30 PM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Look Stellar Wind didnt fire had trouble or whatever and Songbird is suppose to draw off given the pace she didnt. Beholder ran a much better race not sure how many additional feet Beholder ran but it was at least 3 lengths. Songbird ran well but given the race dynamics I dont believe she ran to her rep
Yep, responding to the mid-stretch challenge of a 3-time BC-winning, 3-time Eclipse winning, 18 for 26 overall, 14 for 16 on the Santa Anita main track older horse and fighting tooth-and-nail to the wire only to lose on a head bob was one of the all-time great exposures of an over-hyped, purported champion.

Reminded me of when that phony Spectacular Bid lost the Jockey Club Gold Cup to Affirmed. What a joke that horse was.

But I understand where you coming from, all this talk of "greatest Distaff of all time" takes away from Personal Ensign's grinding win over 3yo Derby winner Winning Colors in 1988.
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  #6  
Old 12-06-2016, 05:57 PM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Yep, responding to the mid-stretch challenge of a 3-time BC-winning, 3-time Eclipse winning, 18 for 26 overall, 14 for 16 on the Santa Anita main track older horse and fighting tooth-and-nail to the wire only to lose on a head bob was one of the all-time great exposures of an over-hyped, purported champion.

Reminded me of when that phony Spectacular Bid lost the Jockey Club Gold Cup to Affirmed. What a joke that horse was.

But I understand where you coming from, all this talk of "greatest Distaff of all time" takes away from Personal Ensign's grinding win over 3yo Derby winner Winning Colors in 1988.
She ran well, her fig was about what the other G1's fillies and mares had been running. My point is given dynamics she is suppose to win that race comfortably. Beholder ran a much better race and while Beholder is lauded as one of the greatest EVAH I don't hold her in that regard a worthy Champion of course but she isnt on my Mt Rushmore. Songbird got as soft a set up as anyone could have foreseen and Stellar Wind laying an egg changed the whole race. She is really good but in my mind her not drawing off and winning that race by 1/2 to length pretty much proved she was exactly what I thought she was. Mind you if Stellar wind had run her nice seriously doubt Songbird would have been better then 3rd
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  #7  
Old 12-06-2016, 06:32 PM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
She ran well, her fig was about what the other G1's fillies and mares had been running. My point is given dynamics she is suppose to win that race comfortably. Beholder ran a much better race and while Beholder is lauded as one of the greatest EVAH I don't hold her in that regard a worthy Champion of course but she isnt on my Mt Rushmore. Songbird got as soft a set up as anyone could have foreseen and Stellar Wind laying an egg changed the whole race. She is really good but in my mind her not drawing off and winning that race by 1/2 to length pretty much proved she was exactly what I thought she was. Mind you if Stellar wind had run her nice seriously doubt Songbird would have been better then 3rd
Well, that was clearly the toughest field Songbird had ever faced and had she wilted down the stretch after the comfortable pace setup, sure you could say she was exposed. But visually, she clearly responded when challenged by a much more experienced and battle-tested mare in Beholder. I think she validated the "hype" and it will be interesting to see what she does at 4. As you know, many a top class 3yo filly have faltered the next year (My Flag, Silverbulletday, Winning Colors, etc.) but hopefully we see her progress.

As for Stellar Wind, I'm surprised that she gets a pass and avoids the "overhyped" branding. She has never delivered when it counted most.
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  #8  
Old 12-06-2016, 06:58 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Well, that was clearly the toughest field Songbird had ever faced and had she wilted down the stretch after the comfortable pace setup, sure you could say she was exposed. But visually, she clearly responded when challenged by a much more experienced and battle-tested mare in Beholder. I think she validated the "hype" and it will be interesting to see what she does at 4. As you know, many a top class 3yo filly have faltered the next year (My Flag, Silverbulletday, Winning Colors, etc.) but hopefully we see her progress.

As for Stellar Wind, I'm surprised that she gets a pass and avoids the "overhyped" branding. She has never delivered when it counted most.
While she did not have the talent that Songbird does, Blind Luck did not go on the same way as a 4YO for the same trainer. Should be interesting to see.
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  #9  
Old 12-06-2016, 07:57 PM
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While she did not have the talent that Songbird does, Blind Luck did not go on the same way as a 4YO for the same trainer. Should be interesting to see.
Blind Luck was a bit of an inbetweener, in the sense she had several high profile losses, yet still won some important races (Vanity, La Troienne, Delaware 'Cap). Kind of like Real Quiet or dare I say Affirmed (he lost several races at Santa Anita, too, early in his 4yo year).

Of course, her last race was a complete disaster.

Songbird did not make hard work of it this year aside from the Distaff, while Blind Luck got into some tough spots, particularly with Harve de Grace, as a 3yo. Nevertheless, I have the same reservation as you. Hopefully she shows up because the trainer is very sporting (i.e., he ships around) when he has a horse on fire.
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  #10  
Old 12-06-2016, 08:09 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
While she did not have the talent that Songbird does, Blind Luck did not go on the same way as a 4YO for the same trainer. Should be interesting to see.
Blind Luck did not drub anything in her way all year, including the Alabama. What a terrible analogy. Certainly never faced a field even close to the Distaff either
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  #11  
Old 12-06-2016, 08:52 PM
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Blind Luck did not drub anything in her way all year, including the Alabama. What a terrible analogy. Certainly never faced a field even close to the Distaff either
Kinda tough to drub a horse of Havre de Grace's caliber. The best 3yos Songbird faced were distance challenged sorts (Carina Mia, Cathryn Sophia). The main point was that a lot of top 3yo fillies over the years have bottomed out as 4yos and the trainer of Songbird is fairly aggressive with his stock, which is not conducive to longevity in general.
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  #12  
Old 12-07-2016, 10:51 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Well, that was clearly the toughest field Songbird had ever faced and had she wilted down the stretch after the comfortable pace setup, sure you could say she was exposed. But visually, she clearly responded when challenged by a much more experienced and battle-tested mare in Beholder. I think she validated the "hype" and it will be interesting to see what she does at 4. As you know, many a top class 3yo filly have faltered the next year (My Flag, Silverbulletday, Winning Colors, etc.) but hopefully we see her progress.

As for Stellar Wind, I'm surprised that she gets a pass and avoids the "overhyped" branding. She has never delivered when it counted most.
I am a Songbird fan and connections are as sporting as any. Rachel was a shell us herself, I wonder if Rachel's connects had more to do with it then her, or maybe it was Woodward? Untappable fits this profile as well. Stellar Wind is a puzzle 3 grade 1's and when she fires she is terrific, I cant figure her out, the 16 Distaff was different then the Oaks and 15 Distaff(much softer competition) in both of those races she ran very well.
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  #13  
Old 12-07-2016, 11:37 AM
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Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
Stellar Wind is a puzzle 3 grade 1's and when she fires she is terrific, I cant figure her out, the 16 Distaff was different then the Oaks and 15 Distaff(much softer competition) in both of those races she ran very well.
As I mentioned prior to the BC, Stellar Wind has never done well when racing with less than 6-8 weeks off in between. If you watch the paddock or post parade you'll see that quite often these Curlin fillies are little runty types (Curalina is, too). Maybe they can't take much racing and training.
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  #14  
Old 12-07-2016, 11:53 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
As I mentioned prior to the BC, Stellar Wind has never done well when racing with less than 6-8 weeks off in between. If you watch the paddock or post parade you'll see that quite often these Curlin fillies are little runty types (Curalina is, too). Maybe they can't take much racing and training.
You would know way more about that stuff. TAP would prefer to run 5 times a year and I really don't follow Sadler enough save his obvious horses. Curlin was a fairly big horse he must have been 16+ no clue about if his fillies are mostly runts, they are fast
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  #15  
Old 12-08-2016, 08:15 AM
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Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
If you watch the paddock or post parade you'll see that quite often these Curlin fillies are little runty types (Curalina is, too). Maybe they can't take much racing and training.
Which is so funny because I was in the paddock for his derby and when he walked by I said "look at that f#$% monster of a horse". Maybe because he was pure chestnut and they often look a tad bigger but I was pretty impressed with a horse who had run like 3 times.
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  #16  
Old 12-06-2016, 10:26 PM
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taxicab taxicab is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by freddymo View Post
She ran well, her fig was about what the other G1's fillies and mares had been running. My point is given dynamics she is suppose to win that race comfortably. Beholder ran a much better race and while Beholder is lauded as one of the greatest EVAH I don't hold her in that regard a worthy Champion of course but she isnt on my Mt Rushmore. Songbird got as soft a set up as anyone could have foreseen and Stellar Wind laying an egg changed the whole race. She is really good but in my mind her not drawing off and winning that race by 1/2 to length pretty much proved she was exactly what I thought she was. Mind you if Stellar wind had run her nice seriously doubt Songbird would have been better then 3rd
Beholder ran a much better race ?
Beholder was a whisker better then Songbird.......that's it.
You're also assuming Stellar Wind was going to run a giant race.
If she breaks slow for a barn that is winless (with a large sample) in BC races that's her mistake.
Songbird doesn't make mistakes.
Songbird is a seven time Grade 1 winner @ distances ranging from 7 to 10 furlongs at DMR/KEEN/SA/SAR(twice)/PARX,she's also a soon to be two time Eclipse award winner.
When a horse puts up that kind of resume and drops a photo by a hair to a first ballot HOF mare,it solidifies her reputation as a freak.
BTW.....
Here's the splits from the Distaff & Classic......
The Songbird fractions seem to be in the same neighborhood as Chrome.
And Chrome wasn't hooked the entire stretch.
Distaff: 23.32/47.16/111.14/136.15/149.20
Classic: 23.28/47.15/110.96/135.72/200.11
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  #17  
Old 12-06-2016, 10:44 PM
Alabama Stakes Alabama Stakes is offline
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Lol soft setup in 23-47-1:11

Isn't a soft setup more like 24-49-1:13.... something like that ?
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  #18  
Old 12-07-2016, 11:00 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes View Post
Lol soft setup in 23-47-1:11

Isn't a soft setup more like 24-49-1:13.... something like that ?
On the SA surface in the Breeders Cup Distaff or at Saratoga in 9'f 25?
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  #19  
Old 12-07-2016, 10:59 AM
freddymo freddymo is offline
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Originally Posted by taxicab View Post
Beholder ran a much better race ?
Beholder was a whisker better then Songbird.......that's it.
You're also assuming Stellar Wind was going to run a giant race.
If she breaks slow for a barn that is winless (with a large sample) in BC races that's her mistake.
Songbird doesn't make mistakes.
Songbird is a seven time Grade 1 winner @ distances ranging from 7 to 10 furlongs at DMR/KEEN/SA/SAR(twice)/PARX,she's also a soon to be two time Eclipse award winner.
When a horse puts up that kind of resume and drops a photo by a hair to a first ballot HOF mare,it solidifies her reputation as a freak.
BTW.....
Here's the splits from the Distaff & Classic......
The Songbird fractions seem to be in the same neighborhood as Chrome.
And Chrome wasn't hooked the entire stretch.
Distaff: 23.32/47.16/111.14/136.15/149.20
Classic: 23.28/47.15/110.96/135.72/200.11
You dont get a better set up in a BC Distaff, she ran very well, how couldnt she have? It's ok to be objective and not knock a wonderful horse. She fired no doubt. She is suppose to win comfortably, she didnt face Beholder at her very best which was electric stuff in Pac Classic. I can tell you for sure the Rachel Alexander I saw gallop in Haskel and run her guts out in Preakness and Woodward would have draw off by 4 or 5 after that set up. Does that REMOTELY detract from Songbird, not to me!
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  #20  
Old 12-07-2016, 12:42 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi View Post
Yep, responding to the mid-stretch challenge of a 3-time BC-winning, 3-time Eclipse winning, 18 for 26 overall, 14 for 16 on the Santa Anita main track older horse and fighting tooth-and-nail to the wire only to lose on a head bob was one of the all-time great exposures of an over-hyped, purported champion.

Reminded me of when that phony Spectacular Bid lost the Jockey Club Gold Cup to Affirmed. What a joke that horse was.

But I understand where you coming from, all this talk of "greatest Distaff of all time" takes away from Personal Ensign's grinding win over 3yo Derby winner Winning Colors in 1988.
Reminded me of when that phony Spectacular Bid lost the Jockey Club Gold Cup to Affirmed. What a joke that horse was.


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