F/M Sprint pace situation.....

[RHT2004]

I think Tara's Tango is going to be very tough to beat.

[senator L]

Looks like it will be Carina Mia up front
Leparoux is a good front running jockey too
Don't know who to take yet but Finest City on the
cut back looks pretty good. Almost got to Avenge in her latest

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by senator L

Looks like it will be Carina Mia up front
Leparoux is a good front running jockey too
Don't know who to take yet but Finest City on the
cut back looks pretty good. Almost got to Avenge in her latest

I really like this horse and the post is fine going 7F, I've got no concerns there. I would however like to know why Desormeaux isn't taking this mount and Smith (who's never ridden her) is up. Seems very odd. Pacewise it looks to me like Wavell Avenue and By the Moon will benefit the most, but Haveyougoneaway may be closer and the toughest to get by.

[senator L]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

I really like this horse and the post is fine going 7F, I've got no concerns there. I would however like to know why Desormeaux isn't taking this mount and Smith (who's never ridden her) is up. Seems very odd. Pacewise it looks to me like Wavell Avenue and By the Moon will benefit the most, but Haveyougoneaway may be closer and the toughest to get by.

Unless I know why the jockey got replaced I usually don't pay much
attention to it. In this case I don't think it makes much difference as Smith
has a way with the ladies. The more I look the more Haveyougoneaway looks the winner. It also concerns me that Finest City has never won on the SA dirt
but her best races have been with outside posts, so maybe today's the day

[taxicab]

FWIW: When the gate is full at 7 Furlongs @ Santa Anita the inside posts generally break a length+ slow.
So that could hinder some early lick from the inside.
Dare I play the "cliché" card here........due to the lack of pure .44 speed,this could be a Jockeys race.
Maybe come up with a jockey that has been known to think outside of the box.
Mike Smith will surprise and send when not expected on occasion.

[jms62]

Originally Posted by taxicab

FWIW: When the gate is full at 7 Furlongs @ Santa Anita the inside posts generally break a length+ slow.
So that could hinder some early lick from the inside.
Dare I play the "cliché" card here........due to the lack of pure .44 speed,this could be a Jockeys race.
Maybe come up with a jockey that has been known to think outside of the box.
Mike Smith will surprise and send when not expected on occasion.

Mike Smith is A good bet in a Breeders Cup race. I have him Over 2.5 wins in Breeders cup races this weekend

[declansharbor]

Originally Posted by jms62

Mike Smith is A good bet in a Breeders Cup race. I have him Over 2.5 wins in Breeders cup races this weekend

Really? Wow. I have his best chance of winning tomorrow as Songbird, and I don't even think that's likely. He must have one hell of a Saturday lined up for you to like him to win 3 races or more.

Best of luck this weekend Jim. Hope you connect on a few bets that you swing for the fences!

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by jms62

Mike Smith is A good bet in a Breeders Cup race. I have him Over 2.5 wins in Breeders cup races this weekend

After digging into this race a bit deeper, it's not the switch to Mike Smith that has me off the horse, I just don't like the her any longer. She is going to need a ridiculous pace set up that I don't think exists here.

RHT's horse cutting back is very interesting and may get some of my attention, but sticking with my original 3 choices for now.

Pete, I'm of the opinion that Paola Queen may in fact go out of necessity, but also will be cooked by the half and really not have any impact on the others.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

I think Tara's Tango is going to be very tough to beat.

Why I love the Breeders Cup... I think she's got no shot. But that's why they run the races.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by philcski

Why I love the Breeders Cup... I think she's got no shot. But that's why they run the races.

A few guys much smarter then me like her a lot on twitter for whatever that's worth.

[Thunder Gulch]

I had Gloryzapper or Paulasilverlining getting the early lead, but I agree it was tough. Expecting it to be modest either way.

[pmayjr]

I think Gloryzapper is lone speed. Because of that I'm using her in exotics.

Paola Queen might go to the front only because she drew the rail. Carina Mia has done it in the past. But its not their strength.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by pmayjr

I think Gloryzapper is lone speed. Because of that I'm using her in exotics.

Paola Queen might go to the front only because she drew the rail. Carina Mia has done it in the past. But its not their strength.

I don't know about this, Pete. I think Haveyougoneaway may be a tick faster. As is Paulassilverlining, but not by as much.

[pmayjr]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

I don't know about this, Pete. I think Haveyougoneaway may be a tick faster. As is Paulassilverlining, but not by as much.

My concern is... So Gloryzapper has been on the lead/pressed in each race. But if you look at her fractions, they're fast, but not sizzling.

Like if someone presses her and she's forced to go 22.2, 44 and change, etc.
A) can she go that fast?
B) can she maintain it for 7f (probably not)?

But I still have trouble seeing who really wants to go to the front with her. A lot of horses will press/stalk her, but I really think she'll be in the lead going into the stretch. She might drop anchor there, but I still think she's in front early on