A funny thing happened on the way to the coronation...

[Rudeboyelvis]

Being completely honest, I saw it that morning and literally threw my tablet to the floor. The absolute LAST thing he needs to be getting drawn back into the gutter with. It is going to be a momentum killer b/c this is all they are going to focus on.

It is a complete double standard, agreed. And hopefully it is going to be a fading optic by the next news cycle but it may have an impact on shoring up the men-hating fembot vote.

What they are not talking about is her ever-eroding support within the African American community.

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/0...-voters-228822

And it's not just Florida. They have mocked and scoffed at his African American Outreach initiative, but it absolutely is beginning to resonate.

[Pants II]

The protestors (Trump supporters) outnumbered her rally attendees in Florida today.

Don't panic. Most of the polls the dems outnumber the reps 4-8% roughly.

It's a farce. They're in panic mode acting like Trump is in panic mode. Total nonsense.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Pants II

The protestors (Trump supporters) outnumbered her rally attendees in Florida today.

Don't panic. Most of the polls the dems outnumber the reps 4-8% roughly.

It's a farce. They're in panic mode acting like Trump is in panic mode. Total nonsense.

Every poll I've looked at since the debate has been oversampled +Dem by as much as 8%. These are the ones MSLSD and Clinton News are crowing the loudest about the "post-debate bump"

So, I don't put much faith in any of it. Even the polls that have been fairly neutral-biased. Take this Mason Dixon FL poll which is +2 DEM oversampled:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/doc...ember_2016.pdf

When you boil this down, you see that there is no way to determine where this oversample is weighted. For example they show they polled 150 people in "Tampa Bay" but there is no breakdown of how this was weighted - i.e. how many (what%) of the 150 polled are Dems? How many Reps? How many of the registered Dems polled said they were leaning Trump? How many Registered Reps are leaning Clinton?

We know Bupkis.

We only know that 150 people were polled and she has a 7 point edge (which I can tell you living here is not the case in her wildest dreams).

What is very interesting though given the known oversample of +Dems and overall demographics, Trump enjoys 30% support among Hispanics.


That's Yuuuuge.