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Old 07-12-2016, 01:15 PM
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jms62 jms62 is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
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Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis View Post
Even Nate Silver has recognized he has been woefully incorrect about Donald Trump, particularly when utilizing his polls-plus model:

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/...-donald-trump/
Identifying and accepting a problem means you are well on your way to correcting it. Unfortunately he has a better chance of reverting to prior form of 49/50 states correct in 2008 and 50/50 in 2012 than continuing being wrong. I despise both but Hillary a tad more...
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Old 07-12-2016, 02:30 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
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Originally Posted by jms62 View Post
Identifying and accepting a problem means you are well on your way to correcting it. Unfortunately he has a better chance of reverting to prior form of 49/50 states correct in 2008 and 50/50 in 2012 than continuing being wrong. I despise both but Hillary a tad more...
It's an unprecedented election cycle. If he's offering 5-1 on Trump, I'm buying.
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