4/2 (GP): $2.5MM Florida Derby Day (7 Graded Stakes)

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Takeittotheedge crushed sprinting first out very professionally and going away. Considering his dam is a half-sister to GSW & GISP Willa On The Move, I really thought he had a right to improve going a route of ground.

But drilling down here, you find his dam Willathewest, has not exactly produced route runners.

On the bright side, she's produced 5 foals all to race and all winners. Unfortunately they've been, by and large, sprinters and is a measly 3 for 24 with Dirt Route runners:


Dirt Sprints: 21.8% $1.69 55-12-6-13

Dirt Routes: 12.5% $1.73 24-3-5-4

It looks to me as though he's going to the lead and won't do nothing but compromise what little chance Fashionable Freddie may have had - but who knows - he may be a freak. He'll be on my ticket.


If I'm looking at a dark horse here, Chovanes maiden breaker last was much better than the beyer he was assigned. A move up off the last would put him in the Tri/Super mix

Chovanes is interesting Dan and I think Majesto has a big shot here.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Chovanes is interesting Dan and I think Majesto has a big shot here.

He seems to be a wiseguy play here - I'm just not seeing it, Tom. He's had 4 routes and even tossing the Jan 9th effort he would need a herculean effort to even be in the same zip code as these. Also don't like the fact that he seems to be 4-5 wide into the stretch each time -that tells me that he (either by trainer instruction or jockey reaction) does not take dirt in the face and needs to be outside thus has to cover more ground.

Not for me.

[Alabama Stakes]

In the big race I fell the paddock , or the warmup should tell the story. I think that if Nyquist stares that grey hoss down and puts the fear of God into him, than the grey hoss will be off the board.
If the grey hoss looks back and says bring it big boy , they could have at it all the way around and both have little left for the Derby, and maybe nothing left at the 1/16 pole and we get boxcars .
I'm pretty sure they'll know who the other guy is really fast when they see him.

I like Majesto here.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

He seems to be a wiseguy play here - I'm just not seeing it, Tom. He's had 4 routes and even tossing the Jan 9th effort he would need a herculean effort to even be in the same zip code as these. Also don't like the fact that he seems to be 4-5 wide into the stretch each time -that tells me that he (either by trainer instruction or jockey reaction) does not take dirt in the face and needs to be outside thus has to cover more ground.

Not for me.

Agree

[cakes44]

I like Nyquist...like a lot. Going big on the nose and that's it.

[Alabama Stakes]

I agree. Should roll

[alysheba4]

that horse is a freak.

[ateamstupid]

Nice call those who liked Majesto. Exacta was healthy.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Chovanes is interesting Dan and I think Majesto has a big shot here.

A big shot to what?