3/12 (TAM): TB Derby, Hillsborough (G2's), FL Oaks (G3), Challenger

[RHT2004]

Can Ball Dancing beat Tepin? Awful lot of speed on paper.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Can Ball Dancing beat Tepin? Awful lot of speed on paper.

Anyone have any thoughts? Even Chads other horse isn't impossible.

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Anyone have any thoughts? Even Chads other horse isn't impossible.

Just took a quick look at it. Looks like should be quick pace but that usually means one horse will go all the way. Tepin looks tough here. I think the 1 horse looks sneaky on the rail and 3 horse could be coming if the pace gets cooking. FYI happy bday.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Just took a quick look at it. Looks like should be quick pace but that usually means one horse will go all the way. Tepin looks tough here. I think the 1 horse looks sneaky on the rail and 3 horse could be coming if the pace gets cooking. FYI happy bday.

The 1 would be my 3rd use if I decided to totally toss Tepin. I thought she had a chance.
Thanks for the hbd.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

Anyone have any thoughts? Even Chads other horse isn't impossible.

Joe I wish there was something more insightful to say, but I can't see anything in here beating Tepin, short of a major regression + a huge move up by someone else.

If I had to play against, I would take a flyer with Josie Caroll's entry - Button Down, on the hope that firm grass moves her up (we simply don't know), that she can lay closer (I personally do not see the front end rush predicted here - I think the 1 is clearly controlling speed), and that Tepin has some trouble.

Failing that, everybody is running for second place here.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Joe I wish there was something more insightful to say, but I can't see anything in here beating Tepin, short of a major regression + a huge move up by someone else.

If I had to play against, I would take a flyer with Josie Caroll's entry - Button Down, on the hope that firm grass moves her up (we simply don't know), that she can lay closer (I personally do not see the front end rush predicted here - I think the 1 is clearly controlling speed), and that Tepin has some trouble.

Failing that, everybody is running for second place here.

I could see a situation like the Diane last year. Fast pace, Tepin has to attack it and gets nailed late. 9f feels like a bit of an equalizer.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by RHT2004

I could see a situation like the Diane last year. Fast pace, Tepin has to attack it and gets nailed late. 9f feels like a bit of an equalizer.

It's a fair assessment. My only rebut is the quality of the Diana and the Balston Spa last summer towers over these. There isn't much in here. Ball Dancing would need a freakish career best off 9 months on the bench to match Tepin in terms of raw speed.

No one else comes close, save for Button Down who could actually be the real deal, or if Johnny V can put them all to sleep on the front and steal it (which I cannot logically see happening).

[-BT-]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Joe I wish there was something more insightful to say, but I can't see anything in here beating Tepin, short of a major regression + a huge move up by someone else.

If I had to play against, I would take a flyer with Josie Caroll's entry - Button Down, on the hope that firm grass moves her up (we simply don't know), that she can lay closer (I personally do not see the front end rush predicted here - I think the 1 is clearly controlling speed), and that Tepin has some trouble.

Failing that, everybody is running for second place here.

not that i think she will lose, but this is NOT her best distance....thought Motion's horse was worth a second look

-bt-

[cakes44]

Solid effort by the #1 vs Tepin. Zero running whatsoever by any of the other contenders.

[Rudeboyelvis]

The only way Johnny V had to go. Track record for Tepin. What a horse.

[Rudeboyelvis]

On a day where the track has been anything but speed favoring, the run Outwork put in was stellar in defeat. Taking nothing at all away from Destin who not only broke he stakes record, but broke the track record for a 1 1/16th.

[RHT2004]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

On a day where the track has been anything but speed favoring, the run Outwork put in was stellar in defeat. Taking nothing at all away from Destin who not only broke he stakes record, but broke the track record for a 1 1/16th.

Destin is hard to figure out. Very professional 1st time out. Then 2 duds. Does he just love Tampa? I thought Outwork ran huge.