Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > Contests
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 01-08-2016, 10:35 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ranger5830 View Post
Race 3

#1 Touched By Autism

Good luck!

Already down to 40 7/7 streaks out of 3546 players who have at least one show horse correct during the meeting, so it's still too early to give up, even though personally my start has been as bad this year as it was good last year, as I only have one correct selection, and that was a race where my pick scratched and I wound up on the favorite. Still lots of time to turn it around though.
You meant Race 4.

I'm not as optimistic as you. Have you figured out how many racing days are left? This one doesn't run til June. There are 34 with 8/8, but I'm guessing there are another 50 with at least 5/5.

When my current streak (2-in-a-row!) ends, I'll be done with going for show streak. I may switch to win streak, though, becoming much more choosy on the picks.

Today: Race 3, Midnight Hawk
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 01-08-2016, 12:19 PM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 416
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar View Post
You meant Race 4.

I'm not as optimistic as you. Have you figured out how many racing days are left? This one doesn't run til June. There are 34 with 8/8, but I'm guessing there are another 50 with at least 5/5.

When my current streak (2-in-a-row!) ends, I'll be done with going for show streak. I may switch to win streak, though, becoming much more choosy on the picks.

Today: Race 3, Midnight Hawk
Sorry, my bad on the race number yesterday.

I counted 165 players with an active streak of at least 5 in a row. More than I thought, but still less than 4.5% of all players who have at least one correct selection. Including today, there are still 55 racing dates left in the meeting, and last year only two players were able to get a streak of higher than 32. Perhaps that was an aberration, but I have to believe that a streak of 40 would give someone a reasonable chance of winning.

Anyway, my pick for today is...

Race 4

#2 Tryst

Good luck!
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 01-08-2016, 02:53 PM
bigrun's Avatar
bigrun bigrun is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: VA/PA/KY
Posts: 5,063
Default

1/8/16
Race 1
#4 Gracee Hunny
__________________
"If you lose the power to laugh, you lose the power to think" - Clarence Darrow, American lawyer (1857-1938)

When you are right, no one remembers;when you are wrong, no one forgets.

Thought for today.."No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit
they are wrong" - Francois, Duc de la Rochefoucauld, French moralist (1613-1680)
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 01-09-2016, 10:37 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by ranger5830 View Post

I counted 165 players with an active streak of at least 5 in a row. More than I thought, but still less than 4.5% of all players who have at least one correct selection. Including today, there are still 55 racing dates left in the meeting, and last year only two players were able to get a streak of higher than 32. Perhaps that was an aberration, but I have to believe that a streak of 40 would give someone a reasonable chance of winning.
Good analysis, you convinced me. (I count 58 days left, btw). If my pick yesterday had not lost, I was going to skip today. (large fields, no heavy favs except for CC, who hasn't raced in so long.) Now I'll just go with CC in the feature and hope he's ready enough for 3rd.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 01-09-2016, 12:01 PM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 416
Default

Going with cal chrome as well, sometimes you just have to take what they give you.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 01-10-2016, 01:54 PM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
Lincoln Fields
 
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 416
Default Sun. 1-10-16

Race 7

#2 Ain't Misbehavin

Good luck!

Up to 3 in a row for me, hardly a major accomplishment but you have to start somewhere.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 01-10-2016, 02:27 PM
bigrun's Avatar
bigrun bigrun is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: VA/PA/KY
Posts: 5,063
Default

1/10/16
Race 2
#4 Blondy's Reward (KY)
__________________
"If you lose the power to laugh, you lose the power to think" - Clarence Darrow, American lawyer (1857-1938)

When you are right, no one remembers;when you are wrong, no one forgets.

Thought for today.."No persons are more frequently wrong, than those who will not admit
they are wrong" - Francois, Duc de la Rochefoucauld, French moralist (1613-1680)
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 01-10-2016, 03:41 PM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default

Went with Cheekaboo today, along with 837 other players.
__________________
Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:53 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.